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RotoExperts Draft Kit: Top 25 Point Guards

"That's where I'm going to jump. Just throw it to me."

From the RotoExperts 2011-12 NBA Draft Kit

These rankings were written on Dec. 15 and published a day later. If written today I would jump Kyrie Irving into the fourth tier, have Jarrett Jack in the sixth tier (since the Hornets haven’t procured another point guard), drop Toney Douglas a few spots (thanks to Baron Davis signing in New York) and take D.J. Augustin down a few notches in fear of a Kemba Walker coup d’etat. 

In the midst of a wild NBA offseason and uncertainty as far as the eye can see, Fantasy owners need the steady hand of a point guard to guide their team. The best NBA point guards are also some of the best Fantasy players, and no championship team is complete without at least a few of the top options on this list. The top Fantasy point guards anchor your team in assists and are often positive contributors in several other categories.

The following rankings are based on a nine-category, head-to-head league format (PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3FG, FG%, FT%, TO), using Yahoo!’s positional eligibility. We break down players into tiers as well to help you organize them within your overall cheat sheets. Finally: this is a list of true point guards expected to play the majority of their minutes at this position this season. There are several combo guards, such as Dwyane Wade, who are eligible at point guard in some leagues but ranked on the shooting guard list for our purposes.In tumultuous times like these, it is best to write your own cheat sheets in pencil and be prepared to move things around as needed based on roles changing and injuries sprouting up. The Chris Paul trade is a great example of this. Luckily, CP3 doesn’t move much as he’s the top Fantasy point guard in the game.

These rankings take into account not just stat projections, but injury risk, competition for minutes and other intangibles.

ROTOEXPERTS.COM POINT GUARD RANKINGS

TIER 1

1. Chris Paul, LAC

Projected Stats: 17.8 PPG,  4.1 RPG, 10.9 APG, 1.0 3FG, 2.3 SPG, 0.1 BPG, 2.7 TO, 46.9 FG%, 85.5 FT%

Paul has finally been traded, and visions of CP3 setting up Blake Griffin for breathtaking alley-oops are dancing in the heads of everyone who is now claiming they’ve been a diehard Clippers fan all along. Paul should be thrilled to land in this spot where he has a pair of top-notch finishers underneath in Griffin and DeAndre Jordan, and talent at other positions as well. In all the drama over where he was going to get traded, it’s easy to forget that he carries with him some risk due to his questionable knees. If he plays a full season at close to 100 percent, Paul is the top point guard and easy No. 3 pick in all formats. Continue reading

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Fantasy & Free Agent Fest: Pacific Division

In the days leading up to the start of free agency on Dec. 9, Damn Lies & Statistics will be taking a look at each team’s potential moves, top fantasy players and more. In the final installment, Greg Fox examines the Pacific Division.

GOLDEN STATE
Fantasy-Worthy Players Under Contract (H2H Draft Round in Parentheses): G Stephen Curry (1/2), G Monta Ellis (2), F Dorell Wright (4), F/C David Lee (4)
Key Unrestricted Free Agents: F Al Thornton
Key Restricted Free Agents: G Reggie Williams
What to Look For: The Warriors remain the most exciting group of fantasy players since the salad days of the Pittsburgh Pisces. New head coach Mark Jackson is already preaching defense, but those who remember the 6-3 turnstile can’t take that too seriously. What Jackson was was a terrific lead guard, who controlled the flow of a game and made everyone around him better. If his wisdom can rub off on Stephen Curry, then the third-year point guard will deliver first-round value. Hell, I felt he was brutal last year, and he still finished as a borderline first-rounder. His backcourt mate, Monta Ellis, if he can stay out of the emergency room following his nightly 48-minute high-wire acts, can also return silly dividends. Always a big-time scorer with strong percentages, Ellis has added a 3-point shot to his repertoire in recent years. Small forward Dorell Wright was arguably fantasy’s MVP last season, coming out of nowhere to produce terrific across-the-board numbers. Don’t go spending a third-round pick on the guy as he is bound to disappoint this time around, but keep him on the radar in the fourth or fifth round. As for disappointments, Warrior big men David Lee and Andris Biedrins impaled their owners a year ago. Lee was a second-round choice for many, but a Wilson Chandler incisor to Lee’s forearm contributed to his derailment and he should bounce back nicely in 2011-12. Biedrins may have to look for work elsewhere as Golden State brass seems to be tiring of his Claude Rains impression. Keep a close eye on power forward Ekpe Udoh, who could steal some minutes in the middle and provide decent rebounds and blocks.
The Damn Lies Bold Recipe: Nothing against Biedrins, but it is not going to work for him in the Bay area. The unfortunate thing is that the Warriors are stuck as they would have to sell him at 10 cents on the dollar and they may be better off using the amnesty clause on him. This team is in need of some hard-nosed players, willing to take a charge, as well as a big man who can change some shots. Tyson Chandler comes to mind, but the Warriors can’t afford him. DeAndre Jordan, Tayshaun Prince, Carl Landry, Chuck Hayes and Luch Richard Mbah a Moute all seem to fit this team’s needs. Time to take the plunge. Continue reading


2011-12 Damn Mock I: Third Round

On to Round 3! I can’t say this round excites me too much. In fact, the fourth round contains many players of equal value. The third is when we start thinking about filling out our rosters based on positional and statistical needs, where your instincts lead you the rest of the way. Where people stop being polite, and start getting real.

The rules: Jeff, Tom and Greg are taking four teams each in this 12-team league, which is a nine-category rotisserie league (FG%, FT%, PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3FG, TO) that will draft the following: 1 PG, 1 SG, 1 SF, 1 PF, 2 C, 1 F, 1 G, 2 U. We’ll be building each team ourselves based on this format. Hope you enjoy, and feel free to mock us in the Comments.

FIRST ROUND | SECOND ROUND

DAMN MOCK I THIRD ROUND

25. Team 1 (Greg) – Paul Millsap – Anyone who can’t appreciate the hard-nosed Sapper is no friend of mine. Millsap is a throwback type player and also pretty effective in fantasy circles. Firmly entrenched in the Utah lineup, Team 1 can expect 16-18 points, 7-8 rebounds, 1.0 blocks, 1.5 steals and a terrific field goal percentage out of him. With Durant and Rondo by his side, this team is shaping up fine. Continue reading


Moving and Shaking: April Showers

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, I’m in way too many fantasy hoops leagues. Next season I need to cut back. I can no longer follow 12 teams throughout the season. Sure, some prosper but it’s usually at the expense of a few teams getting the cold shoulder. And to those teams, I apologize.

Now, with two-plus weeks remaining in the 2010-11 season I am already telling you that I don’t want to be in your league next year. Who’s “you?” I have no idea. But I do need to cut back. Consider, I’m in one league where I picked up Jordan Crawford and am rooting my tail off for him to continue to  go off in the final two weeks of the season. In another league, I’m playing against Crawford and have to root against him. Or, I suppose if I wanted to get cute, I would have to root for some sort of balance where Crawford helps me in one league and doesn’t hurt me in the other. How fun is that? Not so fun, I tell you. Lesson learned? Time to cut back.

I don’t really have much movement to report in my many leagues, especially considering that in H2H leagues at most you have four teams still competing. So, I figured this week I’d just throw a few random thoughts your way.

Continue reading


Damn Lies Midseason Report: Pacific Division

Vince returned to get his degree, and has since procured a Master's in Fantasy Disappointment

As governments across the Middle East and Northern Africa are being toppled by the day due to a scarcity of fantasy basketball information, we at Damn Lies continue to be all about country.  With all due respect to our cronies in the biz, you are not going to find better graders anywhere, as the combination of Jeff Andriesse, Tom Lorenzo and I pulled a 4.0 GPA at the university level. Jeff led the way with a 1.8, Tom pulled a respectable 1.5 and I brown-nosed my way to a solid 0.7.

I find it pretty ironic that I’m putting midseason report cards together for the Pacific Division as it has an inordinate amount of players who never went to college (see: Kobe Bryant, Andrew Bynum, Monta Ellis) as well as even more guys who couldn’t spell cat if you spotted them the C and the T (see: Sacramento Kings roster). Nevertheless, it’s time to get these gents graded, and who better to do so than someone whose MENSA card keeps getting lost in the mail. Continue reading


Fox Unbalanced: Auld Sang Lines

With one eye on the prize, Amar'e looks to lead Greg into the New Year.

It’s about this time each year when I reflect on my own stupidity of not trusting my instincts. I lament the same thing over and over as I continue to not re-draft my guys from the previous season. It’s a simple formula: Previous team underachieves, previous team is undervalued, previous team overachieves in new season, simple. My 2009-10 squad consisted of the likes of Amar’e Stoudemire, Devin Harris, Derrick Rose, Rudy Gay and Ray Felton. Round out my team with the Professor and Mary Ann and I’m vacationing in Buenos Aires by early January with my winnings.

Speaking of Stoudemire, despite a much better supporting cast, all of the panties are getting flung in his direction for the Knicks’ turnaround. This is a guy who stood like a statue for 82 games in Phoenix’s schoolyard offense last year and averaged 23.1 points, 8.9 rebounds, 1.0 assists, 0.6 steals and 1.0 blocks per game. No bad by anyone’s standards, but not what I was expecting from my first-round pick. This year, to his credit, he is playing with purpose and producing 26.2 points, 9.3 boards, 2.4 assists, 1.0 steals and an eye-popping 2.3 blocks per contest in the Knicks schoolyard offense, which currently has him a top 3 fantasy player in eight categories leagues. But oh that ninth category! It’s almost like the fifth dentist.

Continue reading


Fox Unbalanced: Ty-reek!

Every year I have that one guy who looks like a steal in the spot I picked him, but then ends up giving me not only Larry Demic-type numbers, but a bleeding ulcer as well. Ladies and gentlemen, allow me to introduce Tyreke Evans, who fell to me in the middle of the third round of the Damn Lies draft.

"You'll be under the media spotlight now, kid. My advice: try to ignore Greg Fox's screeds. He's never happy."

I really didn’t see much of Evans as a rookie. I knew he put up some pretty fancy numbers, and although I heard that he couldn’t shoot straight, he did manage 45 percent from the floor and 75 percent from the line; definitely livable. This was the third round, and despite some mild plantar fasciitis in training camp, I thought for sure he’d be gone.  I was licking my chops for either Monta Ellis or Derrick Rose, but they were both selected earlier in the round, Rose just two spots ahead of me. I’ve since left my chops alone. Continue reading


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