Tag Archives: Tim Duncan

RotoExperts Draft Kit: Top 25 Power Forwards

Who's more slimmed down this year?

From the RotoExperts 2011-12 NBA Draft Kit

The following rankings are based on a nine-category, head-to-head league format (PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3FG, FG%, FT%, TO). We break down players into tiers as well to help you organize them within your overall cheat sheets. These rankings take into account not just stat projections, but injury risk, competition for minutes and other intangibles.

ROTOEXPERTS.COM POWER FORWARD RANKINGS

TIER 1

1. Kevin Love, MIN

Projected Stats: 20.9 PPG, 15.3 RPG, 2.6 APG, 1.2 3FG, 0.7 SPG, 0.5 BPG, 2.0 TO, 46.7 FG%, 85.2 FT%

Yes, believe it or not, Love is the top power forward in the NBA. Not only will he most likely lead the league in rebounding, but he’ll score north of 20 points per game, hit over one 3-pointer and make 85 percent of his free throws. You’d like to see him put up better numbers on the defensive side of the ball, but if he were a big-time defender we’d be talking about him as the No. 1 overall pick, not just the top power forward. Continue reading


Fantasy & Free Agent Fest: Southwest Division

In the days leading up to the start of free agency on Dec. 9, Damn Lies & Statistics will be taking a look at each team’s potential moves, top fantasy players and more. Behold: The Southwest Division.

DALLAS MAVERICKS
Fantasy-Worthy Players Under Contract (H2H Draft Round in Parentheses): F Dirk Nowitzki (1/2), G Jason Kidd (8), G Jason Terry (10/11), C Brendan Haywood (13), F Shawn Marion (14)
Key Unrestricted Free Agents: C Tyson Chandler, G/F Caron Butler, G Jose Juan Barea
Key Restricted Free Agents: None
What to Look For: Things could be different for the defending champs as free agents Chandler, Butler and Barea might be bowled over by money elsewhere. It behooves fantasy owners to be on their toes with this group. Haywood is worth considering if Chandler walks, but the big man is risky if you are relying on him as a No. 2 fantasy center. Rudy Fernandez is now a Mav, but there is chatter that he could stay overseas. Roddy Beaubois has a chance to really take a larger role this season, but we’re in “believe it when we see it” mode. He’s coming off foot surgery. Nowitzki is no longer a top five pick. I like him at the end of the first round in most formats.
The Damn Lies Bold Recipe: The Mavericks should do everything in their power to keep Chandler, as heading into your title defense with Haywood at center isn’t ideal, to say the least. Mark Cuban and/or Nowitzki need to convince Fernandez to play for Dallas this year. He’s a nice infusion of energy who can replicate much of what Barea and Butler gave them. Continue reading


2011-12 Damn Mock I: Sixth Round

Teams are starting to take shape as we head to the sixth round. There looks like some pretty nice values flying off the board here, whether it be high-upside guys like DeMarcus Cousins and Ty Lawson, or old standbys like Tim Duncan. These middle rounds of the draft is where one grabs the players they feel most comfortable with, players they think will break out, or players that fit in snugly on their current squad. No matter how you analyze it, there’s no denying that drafting is a fluid exercise, especially if you pee with joy when someone you targeted falls to you. The Damn Lies editorial board recommends comfortable adult diapers. Email us for our favorite brands.

The rules: Jeff, Tom and Greg are taking four teams each in this 12-team league, which is a nine-category rotisserie league (FG%, FT%, PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3FG, TO) that will draft the following: 1 PG, 1 SG, 1 SF, 1 PF, 2 C, 1 F, 1 G, 2 U. We’ll be building each team ourselves based on this format. Hope you enjoy, and feel free to mock us in the Comments.

FIRST ROUND | SECOND ROUNDTHIRD ROUND | FOURTH ROUND | FIFTH ROUND

DAMN MOCK I: SIXTH ROUND

61. Team 12 (Tom) – Luis Scola – Now what I really need here is an efficient big man who posts a low turnover rate. That’s just who Scola is. He can rebound (8.2), score (18.3) and his percentages (50.4 FG%, 73.8 FT%) are what the Lorenzo ordered. His defense is soft, but with Josh Smith (blocks), Nene (steals and blocks) and Jennings/Evans (steals) already rostered, I can afford to add a talent like Scola.  Continue reading


Fox Unbalanced: Wake Me Up for the Playoffs, Part II

VCU has Shaka'd the world

You know, I’ve watched this VCU team a few times during the NCAA Tournament and not until the Elite Eight did I realize that Shaka Smart was the head coach. I swear I thought Nantz and Kellogg were referring to the team’s undersized big man who is killing people down low. Live and learn. He doesn’t look like a Shaka Smart… I mean, if one is born with this name, this person’s career is pretty much mapped out for him. It’s either bouncer, hitman, Zulu warrior or power forward. I wouldn’t think “coach” would be in the mix.

Last week, as the sight of my team in the Damn Lies standings had me on the brink of forging a prescription request from my internist for a cauldron of Zoloft, I escaped from the depression by breaking down the potential first round of a 10-team, eight-category, points-based playoffs league. Since it did momentarily have me thinking twice about accepting that harnessless window-washing job at the Chrysler Building, I figured I might as well put together round two.

Here was Round 1…

1. Derrick Rose

2. Kobe Bryant

3. Pau Gasol

4. Kevin Durant

5. Rajon Rondo

6. LeBron James

7. Dwyane Wade

8. Russell Westbrook

9. Serge Ibaka

10. Luol Deng

Round 2… Continue reading


Moving And Shaking: Old Hat, Old Guys, Old Shoes (And Picture Postcards)

"I ain't never gonna be like you, man! NEVER!"

Rudy Gay (shoulder) is officially out for the remainder of the regular season and the playoffs, should the Grizzlies get there. Gay has been out since Feb. 15, so this is old news. It’s not like you lost his services on Tuesday morning and are scrambling for a replacement. He’s been long gone. And we already know who has benefited from his absence.

Tony Allen: Love this dude! I’ve been advocating for Allen for close to a month now. Since Gay’s injury, Allen has posted 13.4 points on 53.5 percent shooting, 3.7 rebounds, 2.2 assists, 1.9 steals and 0.6 blocks in 14 games. That’s in just 27 minutes. Two steals in 27 minutes. There’s no better player at closing out the passing lanes than Allen. He is the must-add in Memphis, and has been for a month now, so go get him!

Sam Young: I’m no Young fan. I’ll let that be known up front. He’s not gifted enough on offense to make an impact, and his defense is far too spotty, which leads to his limited playing time. Since the Gay injury he’s averaging 26 minutes, 8.3 points, 0.2 threes, 3.4 rebounds, 1.4 assists, 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocks. Meh. His game is quiet. The presence of Shane Battier has hurt his value as well. When the Grizzlies need a lock-down defender they call on Battier. When it’s offense they need, they call on…

O.J. Mayo: No one has been a bigger bust at the shooting guard position this season than Mayo. Think about it; your expectations this season for Mayo were probably similar to that of Eric Gordon’s. We talked about Gordon and Mayo being a coin-flip in terms of which one you draft first. Mayo has been just downright awful while Gordon, when healthy, has looked like a fantasy superstar in the making. That said, Mayo now stands to continue to benefit from Gay’s absence in that he would be glued to the bench if Gay were able to return. Mayo’s had his moments. He hit three 3-pointers against the Jazz on Monday, had two steals and a block against the Pacers last Saturday night, and over a week ago dropped 19 points on the Heat. He’s not the best option, but he’s a better fantasy player than Young.

More after the jump!

Continue reading


Moving And Shaking: Melo’s Yellow

Believe it or not, I’m pretty tired of hearing about the trade deadline and the pending Carmelo Anthony deals out there. True, I expect him to be traded by the deadline (Feb. 24). Yes, he is the biggest name in the rumor-mill, which naturally intrigues NBA fans. But I swear to god if I have to hear about Melo going to (insert team here) one more time, I am turning this blog around and NONE OF YOU, that’s right, NONE OF YOU are getting dessert.

With that, let’s talk about what happens if Melo gets traded. I’m kidding! Let’s talk about some of the other deals I’ve seen go down in my many leagues. I may not have made many moves this past week, but that doesn’t mean my league-mates haven’t gotten in the game. Here are the best and most notable moves I’ve seen over the past week.

Continue reading


Damn Lies Midseason Report: Southwest Division

Let’s be honest, all you care about is the Super Bowl. Am I right? Of course I’m not. You only care about the commercials.

This weekend Super Bowl XLV will be played in Dallas. In case you’re reading this and you don’t know who’s playing, mom, the matchup is between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Green Bay Packers. BUT, this week it’s all about Dallas. Just ask Jerry Jones. And since we’re talking about Dallas, we might as well hand out our Southwest Division hardware. And in case you wonder where I’m going with this, mom, the Dallas Mavericks are in the Southwest. Yes, I made this intro come full circle.

In our fifth installment od the Damn Lies Midseason Awards, we present our readers with the Southwest Division hardware… show.

Continue reading


Damn Lies Fantasy Preview: San Antonio Spurs

The beginning of the final verse of Frank Sinatra‘s “My Way” perfectly encapsulates the 2010-11 San Antonio Spurs: “And now, the end is near, and so I face, the final curtain.”  It’s been a great run, but this is one old team.  Timmy Duncan, fantasy legend and one of the greatest power forwards of all time, is 34 going on 70.  Manu Ginobili is listed at 33, but has felt the impact of the Medicare donut hole.  Tony Parker Longoria is only 28 but with Abe Vigoda‘s ankles.  I won’t even get into Richard Jefferson and Antonio McDyess.

 

Getting up there in age, Manu Ginobili is trying anything to cover up his bald spot.

 

While things have been looking kinda bleak since being bounced in the second-round of the ’09-10 playoffs by the Suns, something funny happened on the way to the Alamodome.  Reinforcements, namely George Hill, DeJuan Blair and Tiago Splitter, have rejuvenated hope in Southern Texas, and the Spurs may just have one final run left in them.  Duncan has fallen off the last few years, but still produced 17.9 points, 10.1 rebounds, a surprising 3.2 assists and 1.5 blocks and should come somewhat close to repeating those numbers this season.  No longer a high fantasy pick, you’ll still get value out of the future hall-of-famer in the late third/early fourth round.  I’m sure I’ll pass on him as much as I’m sure that I’ll regret it.

LIES
Word to the wise: Never count Ginobili out.  For my money this is one of the 10 best shooting guards in my lifetime and a multi-category beast.  I would have donated a kidney if it meant the Knicks would sign him, just to change the organization’s culture.  He is passionate about winning and despite the injuries and the proclivity to produce more off the bench, keep those 16 points, 4.0 rebounds, 4.0 assists, 1.5 steals and nearly 2.0 threes per game in mind in the eighth round or so.  Parker was crushed by injuries last season and was never able to get it going.  His lack of steals and inability to knock down the three keeps him as a better point guard in real life than in fantasy, but he ain’t half bad.  He’ll make up for the those categories by being one of a handful of lead guards capable of shooting 50 percent from the field (.490 career), and is an injury to Duncan away from becoming more aggressive on the offensive end.  Don’t forget when this happened in ’08-09, and Parker was dropping 30 a game like it was nobody’s business.

DAMN LIES
Ready to take on a much larger role this season is Hill, who will likely be involved in an even minutes split with Parker and Ginobili.  The third-year man is loaded and a solid sleeper this season, especially given the injury history of his backcourt mates.  I think I’m going to casually look his way in the 12th or 13th round and it wouldn’t surprise me to see him finish the year averaging 14 points and 4-5 assists with decent threes and steals.  Jefferson is an interesting case.  Like Parker, he has always been a better real-life player than a fantasy one.  He didn’t seem to fit in at all last year and his numbers (12.3, 4.4, 2.0) suffered.  I think he is a bounceback candidate, but won’t do enough to warrant consideration before the  13th round.  Even though he will probably not start, I will take a look at Blair long before Jefferson.  Per minute, the beast from Pitt is one of the top rebounders in the league and his field goal percentage should be sublime.  Not only would Parker reap the benefits of a Duncan injury, Blair is capable of physically decimating his opponents with more court time.  If the Splitter thing doesn’t work out, I’d like to see Duncan slide to center and Blair start at PF.

STATISTICS
Speaking of the 6-11 Splitter, he comes to the Spurs already polished, having played professionally in Spain, where he was League MVP in ’09-10. The Brazilian is expected to share minutes in the middle with McDyess, but should prove the more worthy of a larger role as the season progresses.  Tough to say where he should be drafted, but my guess is that he’ll be a solid third center and a nice mid-to-late round grab.  McDyess has battled injuries most of the past 10 years and has admirably continued to produce.  He just doesn’t belong on fantasy rosters anymore.

DEPT CHART
PG: Tony Parker, George Hill
SG: Manu Ginobili, James Anderson
SF: Richard Jefferson, Matt Bonner
PF: Tim Duncan, DeJuan Blair
C: Tiago Splitter, Antonio McDyess

Up Next: Oklahoma City

Full Schedule


Daily Lies & Statistics: The two Coreys

Last week, while he was in the midst of one of the most scintillating fantasy hoops runs of the season, I suggested on Twitter that it was time to sell high on Corey Maggette. Yes, it would hurt. Yes, he was carrying you. Yes, I would like to write an entire post starting each sentence with ‘Yes’.

But there are too many “No”s with this guy. No, he is never healthy. No, he doesn’t play for a sane coach. No, he’s never been consistent.

It was time to sell high on these guys after License to Drive in '88.

So you have the Maggette who was averaging close to 30 points per game in January with a field goal percentage around 57 percent and a free throw percentage around 91. Then you have the Maggette of the last two games: combined 8-35 from the field, 16.5 points, a shouting match with Don Nelson, and an inevitable random “hamstring” injury in the next few days. The happy times are over. All that’s left is a reality show on A&E.

Other thoughts on Wednesday’s action while I ponder why I haven’t taken my own advice and shopped Maggette in the Damn Lies league…

Break up the Nets: New Jersey is 4-40 after a win over the Clippers Wednesday, a game with oodles of fantasy intrigue. Devin Harris sat out with a wrist injury, and he’s been so bad that his fantasy owners were probably thrilled. Keyon Dooling started and outplayed Baron Davis pretty badly, finishing with 18 points, eight assists, two threes and two steals. A pair of Net forwards put up very cool numbers off the bench and should be eyed in all leagues as well. Kris Humphries has already been on our radar for a while, but his 25 and eight last night on 10-14 shooting solidifies him as a strong pickup in all but the shallowest of leagues. Terrence Williams saw 31 minutes of action and went for seven points, nine rebounds and eight assists. With the two of them helping out in a victory, they could make a major impact going forward. Unless the Nets don’t want to win. Then they might be benched. I have no idea.

Give My Love to Rose: The Bulls have now won four in a row after last night’s 96-86 victory in Oklahoma City and have done so against Phoenix, Houston, San Antonio and the Thunder. Vinny Del Negro is clearly the best coach in the game right now. Or maybe Derrick Rose is finally healthy and simply balling. He scored 26 last night and is averaging 25.6 in his last five while shooting over 55 percent from the field. His lack of threes and steals deflates his value, but patient owners have to finally be ecstatic about his recent output.

Carmelo, Roy Remain Out: Carmelo Anthony missed Denver’s 97-92 win at Houston, his second straight game in street clothes, while Brandon Roy has now missed four games with a hamstrings injury and will likely be out through the weekend. Portland fell at home to Utah.

Paul a Beast Lately: Something’s been off for Chris Paul most of this year as he hasn’t been close to the dominant fantasy guy he was in 2008-09. Injuries have played a part in that, but it also looks like any struggles are behind him. He’s averaging a cool 26.4-5.2-10.6 in his last five and is getting back to stealing the ball at a rate we’re accustomed to. Last night against the hapless Warriors, Paul was 38-6-9 with three steals, 14-19 from the field and 9-9 from the line. Hope you haven’t traded him for anyone less than LeBron or Durant.

A Star is Bo: Twitter is all aflutter this morning with news of Zach Randolph making the All-Star team. The reserves will be announced tonight, but we have to say: he deserves it. If only because his monster year is so surprising. I’d love to see Marc Gasol get in as well. Both guys tore up Detroit last night and are playing at a really high level. I put Randolph in a similar category as Maggette: sell high while his value is through the roof. He’s not a shot blocker, offers very little in assists and threes, and simply can’t be better than he’s been.

Some Tim Duncan Appreciation: The 1998 All-Star Game was on the other day, and Tim Duncan was out there, looking and playing exactly the same as he does now (as opposed to Kevin Garnett, who was, jarringly, a jackrabbit out there). I mention this because it was 12 years ago, and last night Duncan gave us a throwback line of 21-27-6, and actually hit all 11 of his free throws. The Spurs beat the upstart Hawks by 15 to boot despite Tim shooting 5-20 from the field. Reports of his demise remain exaggerated, and fantasy owners are again being treated to his customary 20 and 11 with two blocks. Bravo, Tim.

Tonight: Two excellent TNT affairs on the docket with Celtics at Magic and Mavericks at Suns. The Raptors also visit the Knicks with fantasy riches sure to ensue. And in case you hadn’t heard, Gilbert Arenas has been downgraded to doubtful for the rest of the season by David Stern.


Daily Lies & Statistics: Griffin’s Done, Dude

"Man, I cannot wait to wear this thing..."

Here we go again. First it was Greg Oden, and now…Blake Griffin. Yup, the first-overall pick of the 2009 NBA Draft is out for the season. And he was this close to coming back, wasn’t he? Now it seems that Marcus Camby can now take his house off the market. Just in time, too, cause his stomach is better and so are his fantasy owners — 20 rebounds (10 offensive) in 32 minutes last night against the Hornets. So no Griffin means no worries for Camby, but what does no Chris Kaman mean? Well, with Kaman missing his second straight game (back) we were able to see some more of DeAndre Jordan! Apparently, the second show is not the same as the first — 7 points and 7 rebounds in 20 minutes last night. His game is made for deep-leagues. Not us normal sized leaguers!

So there you have it: your 2009-10 Clippers. It would seem to me that next season Griffin is, at best, a late-round draft selection. With what we saw from Oden in his sophomore campaign, it would suck to take Griffin in the 6th or 7th round and have him get hit with the bug again.

Over Time, This Game Will End

The news of the night might have been Griffin’s injury, but the game of the night belonged to the Rockets and Timberwolves. Just hours before his 25th birthday, AaronBrooks played what might have been the best game of his young career — at least that I can think of. Brooks played 59 minutes in this triple-overtime affair, and scored 43 points on 14-of-30 shooting, 6 threes, 5 assists, 3 rebounds, a steal and a turnover. It really was a sight.

On the other side of the ball Al Jefferson took advantage of the extra 15 minutes and posted 26 points and 26 rebounds. He was strong off the glass, to say the least. Rookie Wayne Ellington was the spark-plug down the stretch, providing 17 points, 3 treys, and six rebounds. He won’t be getting 34 minutes again anytime soon, but if you’re in a deep league you should definitely take notice. A great game overall.

The LINES!!!

Randy Foye: Another nice start — 18 points, 2 threes, 8 assists, 4 rebounds and a steal in 45 minutes. He’s officially good, right?

Antawn Jamison/Caron Butler/Brendan Haywood: Three double-doubles between them, and together they combined to pull down 40 of their team’s 48 rebounds.

Steve Nash: He got a busted up lip, left the game to get stitches and returned! Even though he logged just 27 minutes, Nash still had 20 points, 9 assists, 4 rebounds and a bandaged upper lip. He just gets better, doesn’t he?

Danny Granger: Finally, a game we can point to and say he’s back — 33 points on 11-of-22, 5 3-pointers, 8 rebounds and a steal in 40 minutes. This was also good news for Mike Dunleavy who is now in his more comfortable role as the third option on the Pacers — 30 points on 9-of-14 shooting, 4 threes, and 8-of-8 from the line. He Dunleavy and then he Dun-returned!

Earl Watson: His 14 points and nine assists pushes A.J. Price a little further off his back. Watson had a nice back-to-back set — 12.5 points, 8 assists, 1.5 steals and 1.5 blocks. He’s a nice option if you’re desperate.

Tyler Hansbrough: Heeee’s baaaaack…and in the starting lineup, nonetheless. He played just 10 minutes in a “matchup” start, so it was nothing much to write about. But it is interesting to see Roy Hibbert come off the bench. Hibbert played fairly well in his 23 minutes of action — 14 points, 8 rebounds and 2 blocks. I like the big 7-footer still. I’m crazy like that.

Devin Harris: Playing through a sore wrist, Harris shot 5-of-13 from the floor. He’s just not finding the bottom of the net. I would see if I can get him on the cheap. I’m not talking about giving up value, but if you can pry him away…do it.

DeJuan Blair: Taking advantage of Tim Duncan’s day of rest, Blair turned into a monster in the paint — 28 points on 11-of-17 shooting, 21 rebounds (tet ten offensive), 2 blocks and 2 steals in 31 minutes. I would say that you should hurry up and grab Blair, but is anyone else convinced while Duncan’s healthy Blair can reach at least 12 and 10? I’m not.

Kevin Durant: With his 35 points last night Durant touched the 30-point mark for the 10th time in his last 12 games. Bingo, bango.

Kobe Bryant: The back spasms didn’t stop him from playing 35 minutes and hitting the game winning bucket. They did, however, seem to hinder him — 10 points on 5-of-11 shooting, 2 rebounds, 1 assist and 1 steal. But he played 35 minutes!

Josh Howard: He found himself back in the starting lineup after missing last week’s game against the Jazz with a thigh injury — 18 points, 3 treys, 5 rebounds a block and a steal in 35 minutes. You probably like him more than I do, so please feel free to start him.

Matt Barnes: Dare I say he was….”magical.” Barnes scored a game-high 28 points on 11-of-18 shooting with 3 treys, 9 rebounds and 3 steals. I’m sure it helped that Vince Carter (shoulder) was out, and also that Howard, Nelson and Lewis combined to score 22 points on 7-of-23 shooting from the field.

Rudy Fernandez: After missing the last 19 games, Fernandez returned to the court last night against the Bucks. He played in just 15 minutes, but I’m sure we’ll be talking about him over the next week. He just needs to get a little more run before we start seeing some valuable lines. Also, Brandon Roy left last night’s game with a strained hamstring. Hey, I’m no doctor but it looks like the kid’s going to be all right.

Dwyane Wade: The wrist looks good — 35 points on 10-of-15 shooting, 15-of-15 from the line, 9 assists, 7 rebounds and 3 steals. He took no three-point attempts for the second straight game and only the second time this season. Takin’ it to the hole — the title of his autobiography.

Two games tonight — enjoy!

Remember that Kevin Garnett (thigh), Rasheed Wallace (foot) and Greg Fox (shoulder) are all out. KG and Sheed are expected to return next week. Fox should be out for the next three weeks.


%d bloggers like this: