Tag Archives: Joe Johnson

Damn Lies Fantasy Hoops Show: Buyin’ or Sellin’?

It’s a Jeff & Greg production on this week’s Damn Lies Fantasy Hoops Show. The two put on their thinking caps and immediately got cases of lice. It’s been a while. On the agenda is discussion of some possible “sell high” and “buy low” targets. The hot starts of Joe Johnson, Marc Gasol, Ricky Rubio, Jose Calderon, DJ Augustin and Mario Chalmers are debated, as well as the poor showings from Joakim Noah, DeMar DeRozan and Luis Scola. If you can get past these two Kobe haters gloating over a LeBron-led Heat win over the Lakers, you’ll find a show chock-full of knowledge. Bug free!
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RotoExperts Draft Kit: Top 25 Shooting Guards

"Women, Dwyane, amirite?"

From the RotoExperts 2011-12 NBA Draft Kit

These rankings were written on Dec. 15 and published a day later. Stephen Jackson should probably be dropped as he’s dealing with a troublesome back issue. O.J. Mayo should be a few spots lower as well until his role is more clear. Feel free to reach a little higher for Tony Allen as long as he remains the starting shooting guard in Memphis. 

The following rankings are based on a nine-category, head-to-head league format (PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3FG, FG%, FT%, TO), using Yahoo!’s positional eligibility. We break down players into tiers as well to help you organize them within your overall cheat sheets. Finally: this is a list of true shooting guards expected to play the majority of their minutes at the position this season. There are several combo guards, such as Dwyane Wade, who are eligible at point guard in some leagues but ranked on the shooting guard list for our purposes.

These rankings take into account not just stat projections, but injury risk, competition for minutes and other intangibles.

ROTOEXPERTS.COM SHOOTING GUARDS

TIER 1

1. Dwyane Wade, MIA

Projected Stats: 24.3 PPG, 5.8 RPG, 4.7 APG, 0.8 3FG, 1.6 SPG, 1.2 BPG, 3.2 TO, 49.6 FG%, 75.0 FT%

Yes, Wade is in a tier all by himself. In fact, of all the shooting guards on this list, he’s the only one worthy of a first-round draft pick. Sure, there’s always the injury concern when it comes to Wade, but when he’s healthy he’s all but a lock to be among the top 5-7 players in the game. Continue reading


Fantasy & Free Agent Fest: Southeast Division

In the days leading up to the start of free agency on Dec. 9, Damn Lies & Statistics will be taking a look at each team’s potential moves, top fantasy players and more. Jeff tackles the Southeast Division.

ATLANTA HAWKS
Fantasy-Worthy Players Under Contract (H2H Draft Round in Parentheses): F/C Al Horford (2/3), F Josh Smith (2/3), G Joe Johnson (4/5), G Jeff Teague (10/11), F Marvin Williams (13/14)
Key Unrestricted Free Agents: G Jamal Crawford
Key Restricted Free Agents: None
What to Look For: Is this the most boring team in the league or what? Smith was shopped at the draft and could conceivably be moved before the season. As a H2H shot-blocking forward, he still has a ton of value. Horford is a nice pick for those who don’t like to gamble. He’s simply as solid as they come. Johnson, however, has the kind of contract future lockouts are made of. He’ll be serviceable in fantasy and perhaps even a tick better than last year with Crawford likely to sign elsewhere. Hinrich is still around to hold back Jeff Teague, but Teague seems poised to be the starting point guard. It makes the most sense, as he injects needed energy into this yawn of a unit.
The Damn Lies Bold Recipe: Atlanta seems ready to declare Josh Smith “available”, and it is certainly worth seeing what they can get for him. A true center who allows them to play Horford at power forward would be nice, and Smith could snatch someone like, say, Andrew Bynum or Brook Lopez as part of a multi-team deal. The Hawks should certainly stay active regarding one of their top assets. Continue reading


2011-12 Damn Mock I: Fourth Round

We’ve reached the fourth round of the Damn Lies mock, and you know what that means: time to pick the old and the injured! We’ve gone and made our upside picks, now as you’ll see as we begin to pluck the old and the injured. Many of the players in this round have seen better days, in one way or another. Yet, in true DL&S fashion, we also throw in a few surprise picks in the midst of our AARP-HMO run.

The rules: Jeff, Tom and Greg are taking four teams each in this 12-team league, which is a nine-category rotisserie league (FG%, FT%, PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3FG, TO) that will draft the following: 1 PG, 1 SG, 1 SF, 1 PF, 2 C, 1 F, 1 G, 2 U. We’ll be building each team ourselves based on this format. Hope you enjoy, and feel free to mock us in the Comments.

FIRST ROUND | SECOND ROUNDTHIRD ROUND

DAMN MOCK I: FOURTH ROUND

37. Team 12 (Tom) – Nene – After having gone with Tyreke Evans at the turn, I figured I’d follow up that pick with one of the most balanced fantasy basketballers out there. Nene is rock-solid, and a near lock to go 15-8-2 with a block and a steal, along with a 60% showing from the floor. I wanted to go Andrew Bogut here, but I’m a bit too concerned with his injuries (considering the current makeup of this team already). Nene provides great value in the middle, and considering he’s playing for a contract extension, this could be another highly valuable fantasy year for the Brazilian.  Continue reading


Damn Lies Midseason Report: Southeast Division

On Wednesday I had the craziest nightmare. In my dream, I sat down at my computer to assess the Southeast Division and realized that I hadn’t watched a single game the entire year… then my teeth fell out.

It was a bizarre first half for the five teams in this division, as it seemed as if the three juggernauts – Miami, Orlando and Atlanta – were mediocre at best, but they combined to go a solid 90-46. The Bobcats, at 19-25, have fallen below expectations, but have played better and more exciting basketball since the coaching change from Larry Brown to Paul Silas. As for the Wizards and their legendary play away from the Verizon Center, I think Dorothy said it best.

The dirty, dirty moment when the Southeast Division changed forever.

Well, gentlemen of the Southeast Division, school is out and it is time to pay the piper as your parents will be receiving the following grades any day now. Continue reading


Fox Unbalanced: You got to know when to hold ’em

I can’t believe that my main man Tom Lorenzo stole my thunder with this whole Tony Allen/O.J. Mayo thing. I really can’t blame him, and this is such a great story that I’m still going to run with it instead of talking about last night’s incredible Boston/San Antonio brouhaha. I mean, how much is there to say? Rajon Rondo is a freak, Big Baby is the most underrated player in the league, Tim Duncan is feeling the effects of turning 50, and the Spurs need to get their act together defensively if they are going to win a championship.

But Greg says "Don't Cut Bait. Hold the Mayo."

I love this latest trend in which teammates wager a few milkshakes while playing cards on their charter flights from NBA city to NBA city. The other night, Allen and Mayo had to be separated over a game of Go Fish as Mayo appears to have lost and proceeded to welsh on their bet. Allen retaliated by calling Mayo a dirty word (I believe stinker was the ugly term used) and it escalated from there.

What makes this all the more interesting and entertaining is the fact that the two are officially competing with each other for minutes in the Grizz backcourt. Allen, who has suffered myriad foot and leg issues over the years, appears healthy and is averaging 10.6 points, 4.2 rebounds and a freakish 3.4 steals and is a perfect 13-for-13 from the line in 26.4 minutes over his last five games. Mayo appears to have fallen out of favor with head coach Lionel Hollins. But as my colleague Mr. Lorenzo will tell you, he (Mayo, not Lorenzo) is still very young (23) and talented and bait should not be cut just yet. I do recommend hopping on Allen like a cheap suit at this point as he could carry your team in steals, at least until Xavier Henry returns from a sore knee.

Hollins has since banned all card games during team travel, putting a sad end to the Old Maid wars between Zach Randolph and Hamed Haddadi. And speaking of wars, fantasy basketball is a game of attrition. Let’s find a few guys who are bound to turn it around as we near the midway point of the season. Continue reading


Fox Unbalanced: Ty-reek!

Every year I have that one guy who looks like a steal in the spot I picked him, but then ends up giving me not only Larry Demic-type numbers, but a bleeding ulcer as well. Ladies and gentlemen, allow me to introduce Tyreke Evans, who fell to me in the middle of the third round of the Damn Lies draft.

"You'll be under the media spotlight now, kid. My advice: try to ignore Greg Fox's screeds. He's never happy."

I really didn’t see much of Evans as a rookie. I knew he put up some pretty fancy numbers, and although I heard that he couldn’t shoot straight, he did manage 45 percent from the floor and 75 percent from the line; definitely livable. This was the third round, and despite some mild plantar fasciitis in training camp, I thought for sure he’d be gone.  I was licking my chops for either Monta Ellis or Derrick Rose, but they were both selected earlier in the round, Rose just two spots ahead of me. I’ve since left my chops alone. Continue reading


Moving And Shaking: He Who Laughs Last

"Hold the phone, I'm going to the D-League?"

For those of you who are joining us for the for the first time, Moving And Shaking is a weekly (*cough*) piece that examins the moves made in my 176 leagues by myself or other owners in the league. It’s really a moment to reflect on who did what throughout the week. It’s what we do at Damn Lies.

This week I wanted to start the piece by talking about a transaction question I was e-mailed from one of my favorite readers, Mark. In Mark’s 16-team league making moves is key, and using your waiver priority is a must since you know that at least one other owner in your league is after the same gold you’re after. In Mark’s case, the gold happens to be D-League dunce Terrence Williams. The quandary here is, with Williams being recalled to the Nets from the ‘D’ should Mark use a waiver add on T-Will and drop Greg Monroe or Wesley Johnson. Here’s the catch: Johnson is keeper-eligible and Williams isn’t, while if he were to drop Monroe he would face a 25-point deduction for the week (points league) since he had picked up Monroe and hadn’t used him since adding him. You still with me? Good. So, is a 25-point hit worth Williams or does dropping a keeper like Johnson make more sense in order to grab T-Will.

Let’s find out, after the jump!

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Damn Lies Fantasy Preview: Atlanta Hawks

 

The Hawks could definitely use some frontcourt depth.

 

Until a few years ago, the only person following the Hawks was Borat Sagdiyev.  With an arsenal consisting of all-stars at shooting guard, power forward and center, Borat could have some company in Phillips Arena in 2010-11.  GM Rick Sund spent the offseason wooing Joe Johnson back to Atlanta with a max contract. My guess is that Sund awoke the day after the signing with a peptic ulcer, wondering what he had just done.  Johnson (21.3 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 4.9 apg, 1.7 3-pt fg) has been nothing short of solid in leading his team to its best results since Dominique Wilkins roamed the Omni, but by no means is he a franchise player, nor will he lead it past the second round of the playoffs.  This is a team in need of a new point guard and better depth, but now with limited funds it will rely on the three-headed monster of Johnson, Josh Smith and Al Horford.

LIES
We know that we’re going to get about a 22-4-5 with some threes and a strong free throw percentage out of Johnson and that makes him a solid third-round choice.  If you really want to get crazy and look at some fun box scores (and isn’t fantasy basketball about looking at fun box scores?),  take a gander at Smith a round earlier. J-Smoove is a blocks and steals fool and good luck finding another power forward who can get you better than four assists per game.  As it is, this is a late second round selection.  If he improves his atrocious free throw shooting (.618 in ’09-10), we could get late first/early second round value out of the 24-year old.  Horford has been a bit of a disappointment the past two seasons after a solid rookie campaign had us all believing we were going to be seeing the next Tree Rollins, at least without the finger-biting, from a rebounding and blocks perspective. Still, Horford can get you 14 and 10 with better than a block a game with solid peripherals (55% fg, 79% FT).

DAMN LIES
Stay far, far away from the point guard situation with this team as a fading Mike Bibby (9.1 ppg, 3.9 apg, 1.6 3-pt fg) will likely handle these chores once again. Second-year man Jeff Teague showed little during his limited opportunities last season, but he could easily supplant the veteran in the second half of the year. The better bet for value will come from disgruntled Sixth Man of the Year Jamal Crawford. I say disgruntled because like Johnson, Crawford was looking to get paid over the summer but didn’t.  He did average 18.0 points and 2.1 threes as instant offense off the Atlanta bench, but his career has been marred by inconsistency and don’t be shocked if his field goal percentage hovers around the basketball version of the Mendoza Line.

STATISTICS
I see no other draftable commodities on this team and that includes former #2 pick Marvin Williams, who should probably think about re-inventing himself by shaving his head, growing a thick beard, getting a nasty attitude, and changing his name a la Marvin Hagler to Marvelous Marvin Williams. Perhaps first-round pick Jordan Crawford, ye of the ridiculous dunk over LeBron James at the King’s own summer camp, will have something to say at some point.  Maybe they should consider signing Korki Butchiek.

DEPTH CHART
PG – Mike Bibby, Jeff Teague
SG – Joe Johnson, Jamal Crawford
SF – Marvin Williams, Maurice Evans
PF – Josh Smith, Josh Powell
C – Al Horford, Zaza Pachulia

Up Next: Milwaukee Bucks

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Daily Lies & Statistics: Irish Eyes are Smiling

We dedicate today’s Damn Lies blog to the great Irish players in today’s NBA. Troy Murphy, stand up and be recognized. Okay, so basketball has not exactly been the game of choice for the Irish. Even the Irish of Notre Dame barely have any Irish players. The NBA is a league in which three guys named Red -Auerbach, Holzman and Meinhold – were all Jewish.

The Irish rivalries in the NBA are intense. Here Troy Murphy battles with fellow countryman JaVale McGee.

But let’s raise a glass and toast Marty Conlon, Pat Burke, Pat Garrity, Murphy, Shaquille O’Neal, Jermaine O’Neal, and my all-time favorite patron of saints, Patrick O’Bryant. This one’s for you.

Speaking of shamrocks, I fully expect the Knicks to go into Boston tonight and come away with a close loss. Despite an easy win against the pathetic Pistons the other night, the Celtics are a team not in array. Rasheed Wallace should do them a favor and take his 300 lb derriere back to Detwah, so he can locate remnants of his former self. To the credit of Mike D’Antoni, he has the ‘bockers competing just about every night, and with talent bordering on Washington Generals territory, has them on pace for nearly 30 wins.

It was an inglorious night for the basterds of the NBA on Tuesday. Let’s see what transpired.

Indiana 99, Charlotte 94 – The Bobcats couldn’t make it seven straight wins as they played this one without fantasy beast Gerald Wallace, out with a left ankle injury. The Pacers took this one despite a 9-for-25 shooting performance out of Danny Granger, who finished with an inefficient 26 points and eight rebounds. Murphy contributed 16 points, 13 rebounds and five assists. Captain Jack led Charlotte with a vintage 20 points (8-22 fg), nine boards, six assists, three steals and two blocks. With Wallace out, Stephen Graham started and totaled 19 points (8-10 fg) and eight caroms and could be a nice spot add for as long as GW is sidelined.

Cleveland 113, Detroit 101Lebron yawned his way to a triple-double (29-12-12) in this one as John Kuester and his Pistons have a tendency to put even the very best into a deep coma. Will Bynum has remained the starting point guard in the Motor City after the mysterious collapse of Rodney Stuckey and finished with 12 points and four assists. Stuckey is expected to resume playing shortly, but Bynum is still a nice add.

San Antonio 88, Miami 76 – The Spure made it eight of the last last nine with a convincing win in Miami. Manu Ginobili, who has been on a buttered roll of late, dropped in 22 points (7-14 fg, 6-6 FT) to lead the way. Richard Jefferson‘s resurgence continued with 15 points, eight rebounds and three assists. It’s nearly impossible to count on any Heat players in the world of fantasy right now with the exception of Dwyane Wade (28-3-5).

Atlanta 108, New Jersey 84 – Playing without Joe Johnson, the Hawks still manhandled the Nets. Jamal Crawford‘s magic carpet ride of a season continued as he posted a game-high 25 points (11-18 fg). Josh Smith has been a top 10 fantasy player the past month, and even though he recorded only nine points, he filled the stat sheet with eight rebounds, four assists, three blocks and two steals. The Nets were led by Mike Gminski who had, oh wait, wrong era. They were paced by Brook Lopez‘ 21 points and Josh Boone added 13 points and hauled in 20 boards. I’ve always liked Boone’s toughness and he is clearly one of the league’s best on the glass. Yi Jianlian should be returning soon, which will probably send Boone back to the bench, but he has earned his way into the rotation and is worth a look. Devin Harris sat this one out with the sniffles and is a gametime decision for tonight.

Memphis 104, Chicago 97 – OJ Mayo had one of the most efficient lines by any guard last night, finishing with 24 points (8-12 fg, 4-5 3-pt fg). He has quietly averaged 23.7 points over his last three and is shooting 59 percent (26-44) over this period. The highlight of the night was the return of Hasheem Thabeet, who started and played 28 minutes because Marc Gasol was out with a stiff neck. The 7’3″ rookie notched 10 points (4-6 fg), nine boards and two blocks, but his role will likely be short-lived. Don’t discount him for next year. The star of the night was Mike Conley, who is doing his best impersonation of Mike Conley down the stretch of the ’08-09 season. The purnt guard finished with an eye-dropping 19 points (6-9 fg), 10 assists and five steals. With Derrick Rose injured and Kirk Hinrich suspended, Flip Murray started and led the Bulls with 25 points (4-11 3-pt fg) and five steals. He could be good for another start, but still has value as a reserve.

Denver 97, Washington 87 – I stormed into my editor’s office this morning and told him that I refused to report on any more Wizards games this year. Hopefully my nose will clot in a few hours.

Phoenix 152, Minnesota 114 – The stingy T’Wolves defense held the Suns, literally. This is a game in which Kurt Rambis should have shaken hands with the opposing team, shaken hands with his players and owner, and calmly walked off into the sunset. This team is an absolute embarrassment. They have had a bazillion lottery picks the last five years, yet Darko Milicic is starting at center and Ryan Hollins is playing significant minutes off the bench. Louis Amundson tallied 20 points in 20 minutes for god’s sake! Hey, Corey Brewer did go for 21 points and nailed three more threes.

LA Lakers 106, Sacramento 99 – The greatest man in the history of western civilization tossed in 30 points on 10-of-26 from the field as the Lakers squeezed by the Kings last night. He jacked up 18 shots before the intermission when Phil Jackson realized that no one on the Kings could stop the indomitable Pau Gasol (28-12-4, 12-14 fg) or Andrew Bynum (21 pts, 9-14 fg, 12 reb, 2 bk). Of course if you polled 50,000 people, every man, woman and child would give the Kobester all the credit for leading the Lakers to victory.

Eleven games on tonight’s slate. I wonder what Troy O’Leary will be doing.


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