Tag Archives: jason kidd

RotoExperts Draft Kit: Top 25 Point Guards

"That's where I'm going to jump. Just throw it to me."

From the RotoExperts 2011-12 NBA Draft Kit

These rankings were written on Dec. 15 and published a day later. If written today I would jump Kyrie Irving into the fourth tier, have Jarrett Jack in the sixth tier (since the Hornets haven’t procured another point guard), drop Toney Douglas a few spots (thanks to Baron Davis signing in New York) and take D.J. Augustin down a few notches in fear of a Kemba Walker coup d’etat. 

In the midst of a wild NBA offseason and uncertainty as far as the eye can see, Fantasy owners need the steady hand of a point guard to guide their team. The best NBA point guards are also some of the best Fantasy players, and no championship team is complete without at least a few of the top options on this list. The top Fantasy point guards anchor your team in assists and are often positive contributors in several other categories.

The following rankings are based on a nine-category, head-to-head league format (PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3FG, FG%, FT%, TO), using Yahoo!’s positional eligibility. We break down players into tiers as well to help you organize them within your overall cheat sheets. Finally: this is a list of true point guards expected to play the majority of their minutes at this position this season. There are several combo guards, such as Dwyane Wade, who are eligible at point guard in some leagues but ranked on the shooting guard list for our purposes.In tumultuous times like these, it is best to write your own cheat sheets in pencil and be prepared to move things around as needed based on roles changing and injuries sprouting up. The Chris Paul trade is a great example of this. Luckily, CP3 doesn’t move much as he’s the top Fantasy point guard in the game.

These rankings take into account not just stat projections, but injury risk, competition for minutes and other intangibles.

ROTOEXPERTS.COM POINT GUARD RANKINGS

TIER 1

1. Chris Paul, LAC

Projected Stats: 17.8 PPG,  4.1 RPG, 10.9 APG, 1.0 3FG, 2.3 SPG, 0.1 BPG, 2.7 TO, 46.9 FG%, 85.5 FT%

Paul has finally been traded, and visions of CP3 setting up Blake Griffin for breathtaking alley-oops are dancing in the heads of everyone who is now claiming they’ve been a diehard Clippers fan all along. Paul should be thrilled to land in this spot where he has a pair of top-notch finishers underneath in Griffin and DeAndre Jordan, and talent at other positions as well. In all the drama over where he was going to get traded, it’s easy to forget that he carries with him some risk due to his questionable knees. If he plays a full season at close to 100 percent, Paul is the top point guard and easy No. 3 pick in all formats. Continue reading

Advertisements

Damn Lies Season Preview: Busts

Jason Kidd is certainly no stranger to the term "Bust".

“Busts”. It’s not just a word that fills up my Google search history. In fantasy basketball, busts can ruin your season in either spectacular or subtle fashion. A bust could simply be a first-round pick that ends up returning third-round value. Or a 10th-rounder who you end up dropping by Week 3.

It’s always good to be on the lookout for these evil creatures. There’s nothing worse than having the excitement of a great fantasy draft ruined once the season begins by someone who you thought would flourish. The following “busts” come in all shapes and sizes. And you can save your jokes, because I’ve Googled them all.

Monta Ellis, PG/SG, GSW
I certainly don’t think Monta will be a major bust, but burning an early-second-round pick on him is rather risky this year. With new coach Mark Jackson, the Warriors could change their approach a bit, and the former point guard could be very hands on in trying to rein in the anything-goes tendencies of Ellis and Stephen Curry. There’s a chance the Dubs slow things down (they’ll have to just to allow for new center Kwame Brown to catch up) and focus on being a sounder team. Ellis’ overall numbers could be a notch worse this year, and I’m avoiding him in drafts.

Jason Kidd, PG, DAL
I gotta hand it to Kidd. The guy averaged 7.9 points and shot 36.1 percent from the field (!) yet still was the No. 31-ranked player in Yahoo! leagues last year. Kidd is 39 in March and the grueling gauntlet of a schedule we’re about to partake in isn’t going to make him look any more sprightly. I also feel a Roddy Beaubois breakout coming. I rank Kidd around 75th overall on my preseason cheat sheets. In other words, I’m going to let someone else draft him. Continue reading


Fantasy & Free Agent Fest: Southwest Division

In the days leading up to the start of free agency on Dec. 9, Damn Lies & Statistics will be taking a look at each team’s potential moves, top fantasy players and more. Behold: The Southwest Division.

DALLAS MAVERICKS
Fantasy-Worthy Players Under Contract (H2H Draft Round in Parentheses): F Dirk Nowitzki (1/2), G Jason Kidd (8), G Jason Terry (10/11), C Brendan Haywood (13), F Shawn Marion (14)
Key Unrestricted Free Agents: C Tyson Chandler, G/F Caron Butler, G Jose Juan Barea
Key Restricted Free Agents: None
What to Look For: Things could be different for the defending champs as free agents Chandler, Butler and Barea might be bowled over by money elsewhere. It behooves fantasy owners to be on their toes with this group. Haywood is worth considering if Chandler walks, but the big man is risky if you are relying on him as a No. 2 fantasy center. Rudy Fernandez is now a Mav, but there is chatter that he could stay overseas. Roddy Beaubois has a chance to really take a larger role this season, but we’re in “believe it when we see it” mode. He’s coming off foot surgery. Nowitzki is no longer a top five pick. I like him at the end of the first round in most formats.
The Damn Lies Bold Recipe: The Mavericks should do everything in their power to keep Chandler, as heading into your title defense with Haywood at center isn’t ideal, to say the least. Mark Cuban and/or Nowitzki need to convince Fernandez to play for Dallas this year. He’s a nice infusion of energy who can replicate much of what Barea and Butler gave them. Continue reading


2011-12 Damn Mock I: Seventh Round

I suppose we went on a bit of a point guard run in this round. Nearly half the picks were point guards, not including the combo guards who were also selected. The two picks which interested me the most in this round were the James Harden and Marcus Thornton ones. I went ahead and picked Harden, who still might end up coming off the bench for the Thunder, as talented as he is, while Greg went for Thornton. What interests me about Thornton is that he has tons of talent, but there’s still a bit of a logjam at the guard position in Sacramento. You have Tryeke Evans and Beno Udrih slotted to start, right? Not that room won’t be made for Thornton, but I would feel more comfortable if he had more playing time lined up. Should be interesting, though.

The rules: Jeff, Tom and Greg are taking four teams each in this 12-team league, which is a nine-category rotisserie league (FG%, FT%, PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3FG, TO) that will draft the following: 1 PG, 1 SG, 1 SF, 1 PF, 2 C, 1 F, 1 G, 2 U. We’ll be building each team ourselves based on this format. Hope you enjoy, and feel free to mock us in the Comments.

FIRST ROUND | SECOND ROUND | THIRD ROUND | FOURTH ROUND | FIFTH ROUND | SIXTH ROUND  

DAMN MOCK I SEVENTH ROUND

73. Team 1 (Greg) – Ray Allen – Like fine Manischewitz, Ray Allen just keeps getting better with age. Well, not really, but he is still damn effective, particularly from a fantasy perspective. In his age 35 season, Mr. Shuttlesworth managed to shoot a career best 49 percent from the field, knocked down 2.1 threes per game, and turned it over only 1.5 times. His free throw shooting did fall off to only 88 percent, his poorest percentage in a decade, but it was still good enough to rank among league leaders. The ageless wonder remains fantasy gold and is a nice get for Team 1, which is in need of 3-point shooting. Continue reading


I’ll Be Damned: Got MLK?

Unsurprisingly, Darren Collison has thrived since Jeff traded him to Tom a month ago.

Martin Luther King Day is typically a wonderful day in the NBA and Monday was no exception, featuring games all afternoon and into the night, several of them excellent or at the very least interesting. This feels like a good time to ponder where we stand in mid-January.

It’s typically time to take stock of your team and make some bold moves to get in position for the stretch run of the season. In fact, this next month will be one of the craziest of the season, leading up to the Feb. 24 NBA trade deadline. I guarantee you have dropped someone or will drop someone who will end up being amazing in the final two months. I usually have about three or four of those guys a year. Keep your eyes on the prize and don’t be afraid to be bold. In fact, it is perfectly acceptable to lose a trade if you have to. By that I mean giving up a little bit more than you get back to secure some categories. As long as you trade your good players to teams that can’t hurt you down the road, pull the trigger. It’s a harder strategy to follow in head-to-head formats, where the goal is to sneak into the playoffs somehow and hope to have a healthy team that gets lucky. Reminds me of fantasy football. That’s why I’m a rotisserie league guy. May the best team win, I say.

Let’s pore over the box scores from Monday and take a look at some of my favorite stat lines as well as the more bizarre or interesting ones from the 13-game slate. Continue reading


Fox Unbalanced: Ty-reek!

Every year I have that one guy who looks like a steal in the spot I picked him, but then ends up giving me not only Larry Demic-type numbers, but a bleeding ulcer as well. Ladies and gentlemen, allow me to introduce Tyreke Evans, who fell to me in the middle of the third round of the Damn Lies draft.

"You'll be under the media spotlight now, kid. My advice: try to ignore Greg Fox's screeds. He's never happy."

I really didn’t see much of Evans as a rookie. I knew he put up some pretty fancy numbers, and although I heard that he couldn’t shoot straight, he did manage 45 percent from the floor and 75 percent from the line; definitely livable. This was the third round, and despite some mild plantar fasciitis in training camp, I thought for sure he’d be gone.  I was licking my chops for either Monta Ellis or Derrick Rose, but they were both selected earlier in the round, Rose just two spots ahead of me. I’ve since left my chops alone. Continue reading


Damn Lies Fantasy Preview: Dallas Mavericks

All right, I admit it. I drank the Kool Aid late last season and thought the Mavericks had a chance to go a few rounds in the playoffs. I mean they did win 23 of their final 29 regular season games to secure the #2 seed in the West, and by acquiring Brendan Haywood and Caron Butler from the Wizards, it seemed as if they filled the defense and rebounding voids that would have had them bowing out early.  So what did they do? They bowed out to the Spurs in the first round. This is a team of big names and fantasy legends and as there are just so many minutes to go around, we’ll see if this creates problems.

The cornerstones of Mark Cuban’s squad – Dirk Nowitzki and Jason Kidd – are both a year older, Nowitzki now 32 and Kidd 37, and who knows when they will stop aiming to please.  Despite his mileage, Lubinski, as my wife called him last night, remains fantasy gold and a first-round lock.  True, his rebounds (7.7) and 3-pointers (0.6) were down last year, but his point total (25.0), assists (2.7), percentages (48% fg, 42% 3-pt, 92% ft), steals (0.9), blocks (1.0) and lack of turnovers (1.8) render him one of the most unique and valuable multi-category assets in the game.

LIES
Kidd, who looked like a grizzled veteran as a sophomore at Cal, is a freak of nature and somehow continues to produce third-round value year-after-year.   In ’09-10, not only did he grab 5.6 rebounds, swipe 1.8 Spaldings, and hand out his customary 9.1 assists, he shot threes at a mind-bending 43 percent clip, knocking down a career-best 2.2 per game. When Kidd decides to ride off into the sunset, this will be Rodrigue Beaubois‘ team.  I say this because I just want to continue spewing the name Rodrigue Beaubois.  But this 22-year old frenchman is no flash in the Au Bon Pain.   He is an absolute jet and capable of big scoring, assists, steals and 3-point totals.  He may not be ready for the start of the regular season as recovers from a busted left foot, but draft him around the 12th round and stash him as he could conceivably supplant Butler at shooting guard.

 

No matter how much Shawn Marion regresses, he still won't represent the lamest final act of a Matrix.

 

DAMN LIES
Just a few seasons ago in Washington, people were pulling the trigger on Butler in the early second round of drafts.  His salad days are clearly over, though he is still capable of 15-17 points, a bunch of steals and a handful of threes.  I’m not touching him until the middle rounds as last season he appeared to lose a step or three. Another former fantasy hall-of-famer, Shawn Marion, could start at small forward, but Butler could take over this position if Beaubois earns the nod at shooting guard.  Things haven’t worked out for the offensively limited Matrix in Dallas, but if you need a few blocks and steals at the end of your draft, he should be available.

STATISTICS
I don’t think I’ve ever seen Jason Terry miss an open three, but last year we may have seen the first signs of decline for the 33-year old sharpshooter. Even though Terry may have taken a step back and is part of a congested backcourt, this is not a bad guy to target late.  He’ll still get you 15-17 points, around 2.0 threes per game, more than a steal, and he’ll shoot a high percentage from the line.  Oh, and he sill makes over $9 million a year, so that paycheck will not be rotting on the bench anytime soon.  In the middle, Haywood, who at 30 years of age is coming off of his best statistical season, can’t be thrilled with the addition of Tyson Chandler as the two will eat into each other’s value.  Haywood will still provide decent boards and blocks and could serve as a solid third center if taken in the mid-to-late rounds.

DEPTH CHART
PG: Jason Kidd, Jose Juan Barea
SG: Rodrigue Beaubois, Jason Terry
SF: Caron Butler, Shawn Marion
PF: Dirk Nowitzki, Ian Mahinmi
C: Brendan Haywood, Tyson Chandler

Up Next: Indiana Pacers

Full Schedule


%d bloggers like this: