Tag Archives: jameer nelson

Start, Drop & Roll: Week 6 advice

"I'm the Notre Damus of the NBA"

As we head into Week 6 of the fantasy basketball season, I took the liberty of looking up the word fantasy. It is defined as a genre of fiction that commonly uses magic and other supernatural phenomena as a primary element of plot, theme, or setting. It also states that many works within the genre take place in imaginary worlds where magic is common.

As I languish in last place in the Damn Lies league, I’m sure I’m not alone in saying that this season has been far from a fantasy. And with my newfound definition of the term, I am now on the hunt for a magician to turn my season around. With that said, ladies and gentlemen, to offer this week’s selections, allow me introduce the amazing Melodini. This is the only man, in the history of American basketball, who has singlehandedly shattered the hopes and dreams of an entire city, and will get none of the blame. Truly amazing. Continue reading


RotoExperts Draft Kit: Top 25 Point Guards

"That's where I'm going to jump. Just throw it to me."

From the RotoExperts 2011-12 NBA Draft Kit

These rankings were written on Dec. 15 and published a day later. If written today I would jump Kyrie Irving into the fourth tier, have Jarrett Jack in the sixth tier (since the Hornets haven’t procured another point guard), drop Toney Douglas a few spots (thanks to Baron Davis signing in New York) and take D.J. Augustin down a few notches in fear of a Kemba Walker coup d’etat. 

In the midst of a wild NBA offseason and uncertainty as far as the eye can see, Fantasy owners need the steady hand of a point guard to guide their team. The best NBA point guards are also some of the best Fantasy players, and no championship team is complete without at least a few of the top options on this list. The top Fantasy point guards anchor your team in assists and are often positive contributors in several other categories.

The following rankings are based on a nine-category, head-to-head league format (PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3FG, FG%, FT%, TO), using Yahoo!’s positional eligibility. We break down players into tiers as well to help you organize them within your overall cheat sheets. Finally: this is a list of true point guards expected to play the majority of their minutes at this position this season. There are several combo guards, such as Dwyane Wade, who are eligible at point guard in some leagues but ranked on the shooting guard list for our purposes.In tumultuous times like these, it is best to write your own cheat sheets in pencil and be prepared to move things around as needed based on roles changing and injuries sprouting up. The Chris Paul trade is a great example of this. Luckily, CP3 doesn’t move much as he’s the top Fantasy point guard in the game.

These rankings take into account not just stat projections, but injury risk, competition for minutes and other intangibles.

ROTOEXPERTS.COM POINT GUARD RANKINGS

TIER 1

1. Chris Paul, LAC

Projected Stats: 17.8 PPG,  4.1 RPG, 10.9 APG, 1.0 3FG, 2.3 SPG, 0.1 BPG, 2.7 TO, 46.9 FG%, 85.5 FT%

Paul has finally been traded, and visions of CP3 setting up Blake Griffin for breathtaking alley-oops are dancing in the heads of everyone who is now claiming they’ve been a diehard Clippers fan all along. Paul should be thrilled to land in this spot where he has a pair of top-notch finishers underneath in Griffin and DeAndre Jordan, and talent at other positions as well. In all the drama over where he was going to get traded, it’s easy to forget that he carries with him some risk due to his questionable knees. If he plays a full season at close to 100 percent, Paul is the top point guard and easy No. 3 pick in all formats. Continue reading


Fantasy & Free Agent Fest: Southeast Division

In the days leading up to the start of free agency on Dec. 9, Damn Lies & Statistics will be taking a look at each team’s potential moves, top fantasy players and more. Jeff tackles the Southeast Division.

ATLANTA HAWKS
Fantasy-Worthy Players Under Contract (H2H Draft Round in Parentheses): F/C Al Horford (2/3), F Josh Smith (2/3), G Joe Johnson (4/5), G Jeff Teague (10/11), F Marvin Williams (13/14)
Key Unrestricted Free Agents: G Jamal Crawford
Key Restricted Free Agents: None
What to Look For: Is this the most boring team in the league or what? Smith was shopped at the draft and could conceivably be moved before the season. As a H2H shot-blocking forward, he still has a ton of value. Horford is a nice pick for those who don’t like to gamble. He’s simply as solid as they come. Johnson, however, has the kind of contract future lockouts are made of. He’ll be serviceable in fantasy and perhaps even a tick better than last year with Crawford likely to sign elsewhere. Hinrich is still around to hold back Jeff Teague, but Teague seems poised to be the starting point guard. It makes the most sense, as he injects needed energy into this yawn of a unit.
The Damn Lies Bold Recipe: Atlanta seems ready to declare Josh Smith “available”, and it is certainly worth seeing what they can get for him. A true center who allows them to play Horford at power forward would be nice, and Smith could snatch someone like, say, Andrew Bynum or Brook Lopez as part of a multi-team deal. The Hawks should certainly stay active regarding one of their top assets. Continue reading


2011-12 Damn Mock I: Tenth Round

This is it! The last round! Our heads are spinning. We may have forgotten some deserving players. Thems the breaks. The bottom line is we got it out there for the world to see. We may not be the best mock drafters, but we’re certainly the first. I can’t wait until the real NBA draft and free agency, not to mention the lockout, which will make all of this moot. In the meantime, enjoy. We’ll be analyzing it soon and posting the entire draft order.

The rules: Jeff, Tom and Greg are taking four teams each in this 12-team league, which is a nine-category rotisserie league (FG%, FT%, PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3FG, TO) that will draft the following: 1 PG, 1 SG, 1 SF, 1 PF, 2 C, 1 F, 1 G, 2 U. We’ll be building each team ourselves based on this format. Hope you enjoy, and feel free to mock us in the Comments.

FIRST ROUND | SECOND ROUNDTHIRD ROUND | FOURTH ROUND | FIFTH ROUND | SIXTH ROUND | SEVENTH ROUND | EIGHTH ROUND | NINTH ROUND

DAMN MOCK I: TENTH ROUND

109. Team 12 (Tom) – Paul George – Time to start taking shots on upside players. George has tons of talent, but the questions now remains whether or not he’ll get the opportunity. He did start 19 games last season and added decent value–7.3 points, 0.7 threes, 3.8 rebounds and 1.2 steals in 23.5 minutes. If he pushes up to 28-30 minutes we might be looking at a dozen points, 5 boards, a three-plus, and 1.5 steals. I can live with that this late. Think of George as this season’s DeMar DeRozan. If he gets the opportunity, he can pay pretty high dividends.  Continue reading


Damn Lies Midseason Report: Southeast Division

On Wednesday I had the craziest nightmare. In my dream, I sat down at my computer to assess the Southeast Division and realized that I hadn’t watched a single game the entire year… then my teeth fell out.

It was a bizarre first half for the five teams in this division, as it seemed as if the three juggernauts – Miami, Orlando and Atlanta – were mediocre at best, but they combined to go a solid 90-46. The Bobcats, at 19-25, have fallen below expectations, but have played better and more exciting basketball since the coaching change from Larry Brown to Paul Silas. As for the Wizards and their legendary play away from the Verizon Center, I think Dorothy said it best.

The dirty, dirty moment when the Southeast Division changed forever.

Well, gentlemen of the Southeast Division, school is out and it is time to pay the piper as your parents will be receiving the following grades any day now. Continue reading


Damn Lies Fantasy Preview: Orlando Magic

 

Anyone who refuses to draft Dwight Howard needs to have their head checked!

 

Every player in every fantasy league has their Dwight Howard “theory.” Most in H2H leagues will draft Howard in the top 4 or 5 picks and simply punt the FT% and turnover categories. Some, however, are anti-punt and refuse to touch Howard regardless. In Roto leagues there are those who will drop Howard completely off their list of targeted players, those who will drop him down to the later rounds, and those who are bold enough to take the FT% hit and take him early in the 2nd round. Ideally, if you’re in a Roto league and you can combine Howard with top pick Kevin Durant you’re probably a lock to finish in the top 3 in your league. Howard made just 59.2% of his free throws on 10 attempts per game, while Durant made 90.0% of his free throws on 10.2 attempts. Together they combined to make 74.7% of their free throws. Not only is that manageable, but that would put you in the top 3 or 4 in your league in FT%. My point is, you should never outright banish a player from your draft board. It’s not a likely scenario that you can couple Howard and Durant, but if at all possible you can do so in complete dominance. With that being said, you also might want to draft defensively and make sure that the Durant owner in your league doesn’t get Howard. That would be a tough team to challenge.

LIES
Rashard Lewis had just an awful season last year. His 3-point shooting is the only category which he was able to give you plus-value. In each of his first three seasons with the Magic, Lewis has seen his minutes, field goal attempts, points, rebounds, assists, threes, free-throw percentage, and blocks decline. Once a top 20 fantasy player, Lewis is now among the Ray Allens of the league who are good for help in a few areas, but not reliable in most others. They should have called him Bust-ard Lewis. That is, if he wasn’t teammates with…

DAMN LIES
Vince Carter. VC wasn’t a complete and total bust, well, unless you want to talk about the first half of the 2009-10 season. If that’s the case, you can call VC a VC-cup (whatever that means). Prior to the All-Star break, Carter averaged just 16.5 points on 39.7% shooting from the floor. There was a period of time, let’s call it “January,” where Carter averaged 8.7 points on 27.4% shooting in 10 games. Yuck! Carter’s minutes too have been in a sharp decline, going from 38 to 36 minutes two years ago, only to have him average just over 30 minutes last season. He wasn’t even able to average one steal or four rebounds per game last year with the Magic. It wouldn’t even be fair to say he’s among the aging veterans like Paul Pierce and Tim Duncan who are seeing their role decrease, because both of those players are still effective. I would put Carter in the 8th or 9th round of most fantasy drafts, though that doesn’t mean I’m taking him.

STATISTICS
Carter might have a little competition at shooting guard this year as the Magic re-upped J.J. Redick‘s contract over the summer. I look at Redick as a category filler only, though. He can give you about 10-12 points, 1.5-2 threes, and shoot 85+% from the free-throw line. Other than that, he doesn’t play any defense, rebound, or dish the ball well enough. Jameer Nelson is an interesting selection. He is a year removed from a major injury and a season in which he averaged 16.7 points, 2.0 threes, 1.2 steals, 5.4 assists, 3.5 rebounds, 88.7% shooting from the line and 50.4% from the field. I would take those numbers in the 6th round if I knew I was getting them. Problem is, Nelson hasn’t played in 70 games since the 2006-07 season. He’s definitely an injury concern. His back-up Chris Duhon is good for some assists, if he plays, but he’s a terrible shooter and he can really hurt you in the FG% category. Brandon Bass is an efficient big, but we’ve yet to see him get significant minutes. Ryan Anderson is a big man with a nice 3-point stroke, but he too not been able to get on the court long enough to make an impact. Mickael Pietrus doesn’t do enough besides hit 3-pointers and steal a ball or two to make enough of an impact. Besides, his shooting percentages can really hurt you. Quentin Richardson was brought in during the offseason to add another deep threat. He can hit close to two 3-pointers per game, steal a ball, and he rebounds well for his size, but he too has some holes in his game. I would look at Q-Rich as waiver add when you’re chasing specific stats.

DEPTH CHART
PG: Jameer Nelson, Chris Duhon
SG: Vince Carter, J.J. Redick
SF: Quentin Richardson, Mickael Pietrus
PF: Rashard Lewis, Brandon Bass
C: Dwight Howard, Marcin Gortat

Up Next: Los Angeles Clippers

Full Schedule


Daily Lies & Statistics: Up Next: Jewish Singles Night at the Meadowlands

It was Jewish Family Night yesterday at the Meadowlands as the Nets secured win No. 8 of the young season by thrashing Sacramento, 93-79. New Jersey held Israeli rookie Omri Casspi to two points on 1-of-8 shooting from the field and fans celebrated the victory by heaving kasha varnishkes onto the Izod Center floor.

And what better way to celebrate the Nets’ orthodoxy than by holding this special occasion. For a mere $18, fans received a ticket to the game along with a Jewish Family Night tee-shirt.  This evening could rival another of the Nets marketing machine’s ingenious strategies of having Yi Jianlian, or any other Net for that matter, making an appearance at your son or daughter’s Bar or Bat Mitzvah with the purchase of a season ticket. Of the people who have done this, I’d love to know the percentage of those who didn’t choose Chairman Yi. Big mistake if they didn’t.

The Nets fan has replaced the Jew on the self-loathing scale.

As for the game, Brook Lopez erupted for 26 points, 13 rebounds and four blocked shots. Devin Harris added 24 points (2-5 3-pt-fg) and nine assists. The Kings, still playing without the concussed Tyreke Evans, were again led by Mark Price, again wearing his Beno Udrih costume, and finished with 19 points (8-13 fg), eight boards and five assists.

It was a busy night in the Ligg, as Hubie Brown would say. Let’s take a peek at some of the fantasy standouts.

Rajon Rondo – Rage On explained to his owners last night why he was drafted in third round following his 11-point, 11-rebound, 15-assist, four-steal beauty.

Paul Pierce – Pierce is apparently over whatever has been ailing him the past few months. Last night he torched the Nuggets for 27 points (10-16 fg), seven rebounds, two steals and a block and has averaged 24.4 points and is shooting 57 percent from the floor over his last five.

Dwight Howard – Superman put up some seriously crooked numbers (19 pts, 24 reb, 4 bk, 2 st) in a tough loss at Atlanta. He’s a free throw percentage killer, but if you’ve owned him all season, there’s no longer a need to worry about that category.

Jameer Nelson – Nelson has been brutal of late, but maybe he’s over his doldrums as last night’s 20-point, 8-assist performance will attest.

James Singleton – Even with Andray Blatche (21 pts) in the starting lineup despite bickering with Flip Saunders, Singleton exploded for 19 points, 21 rebounds and a block. The Wizards are probably the worst team in the NBA right now and Singleton should get the chance to prove his worth with 30+ minutes a night the rest of the way. If you can still make adds, look no further.

Josh McRoberts – He did post a double-double last night with 14 points, 12 caroms and two blocks. But don’t go running to your waiver wires as it did come against lowly Washington and Roy Hibbert was out with a sprain of his temporo mandibular joint. God, I’ve been waiting all my life to write that.

Deron Williams – Williams is a freak and proved why with his devastating 18-point, 16-assist, four-steal extravaganza in the blowout win over the fading Raptors.

Wesley Matthews – Matthews has been on the fringe of being a legit pickup and now may be his time following a 16-point (3-6 3-pt fg), 8-rebound effort. The son of blazing fast former NBA guard Wes Matthews has averaged just over 34 minutes per game over his last four.

Jose Calderon/Jarrett Jack – This situation stinks as they continue to split time at the point guard position. Both are unstartable right now.

Darko Milicic – This may be my only chance to write about Darko, who totaled 10 points, four caroms and two blocks in last night’s loss at Charlotte. He does not resemble an NBA player by any stretch of the imagination yet he has some pretty steep demands if he plans on returning to the league next season. Darko, do us a favor and don’t come back. As Branch Rickey once told the great Ralph Kiner, “we can finish in last without you.”

Gerald Wallace – It’s got to be fun to open a Bobcat boxscore when owning Wallace and knowing the team had a good night offensively. That is if one considers 23 points (9-16 fg), four assists, four steals and three blocks a quality night.

Stephen Jackson – Captain Jack bounced back from some subpar shooting nights with 37 points on 15-of-24 from the floor. He also got his owners high with five rebounds, three assists, four 3-pointers and two steals. If you can live with a low field goal percentage, Jackson is your man.

LeBron James – LeBron celebrated the return of his big li’l buddy Zydrunas Ilgauskas with a typical 38-6-9 on 15-of-22 from the field. The Cavs could have home court advantage throughout the playoffs locked up by the end of next week, so don’t be surprised to see the 2009-10 MVP’s minutes limited the last few games of the regular season.

Marcus Thornton – Somehow, Thornton is the big winner in the return of Chris Paul Sweepstakes. Now entrenched in the starting lineup, the rookie registered 20 points and five assists in 43 minutes of work. Paul (5-2-7) and Darren Collison (17-4-7) each saw 31 minutes of court time.

Jason Kapono – Kapono has done nothing to deserve his starting role in Philly, but it is what it is. In last night’s upset win in Milwaukee, he recorded only 10 points in 23 minutes, but he is a phenomenal 3-point shooter and could get hot from long range just in time to help fantasy owners.

Trevor Ariza – Ariza’s field goal percentage (39%) has been an atrocity for much of the season, but he remains a solid fantasy performer. Last night he actually converted 8-of-14 from the floor and 3-of-4 from beyond the arc and finished with 20 points, two blocks and two steals.

Jeff Green – If he would only change his name to Jeffer Green a la Brigham Young sharpshooter Jimmer Fredette, he would be a lot more recognizable. As it is, Green has put up strong numbers of late, averaging 19.6 points and 1.4 steals over his last seven. Last night he totaled 19 points (8-11 fg), five rebounds, five assists and two rejects in the Thunder’s blowout win over the Rockets.

Lamar Odom – Now starting with Andrew Bynum again on the shelf, Mr. Kardashian tallied 19 points and yanked down 13 boards in a statement win at San Antonio. As I’ve always said, if he gets the minutes, Kardashian will deliver.

Ralph Willoughby – Was led to the court from Section 246 by Don Nelson prior to tipoff and delivered 22 points, six assists and three blocks for the Warriors. Keep an eye on Willoughby as he may have supplanted Corey Maggette as the starting small forward.

Reggie Williams – Played 29 minutes off the Golden St. bench and contributed 23 points (8-14 fg) and five rebounds. There is no such thing as a D-Leaguer in Nellie’s system.

Stephen Curry – I still have no idea if Curry is even any good as this system or lack thereof masks myriad offensive deficiencies. But man, owning Curry must be the equivalent of a five-year old walking into Dylan’s Candy Shop. Last night, he erupted for 30 points (12-19 fg), five rebounds, 11 assists and four steals in the easy win over the Grizzlies.

Only three games on the slate tonight, but Mavs at Blazers should be a doozy.


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