Tag Archives: fantasy

Moving Without the Ball: Waiver’d and Wire’d

Via RotoExperts

Turn your back on Toney Douglas? I sure wouldn't.

Every once in a while we here at RotoExperts like to mash things up. Whether it be Andriesse’s obsession with mashing potatoes or Rysz’s inner Hulk’s need to mash and smash his foes, we’re just down for a good mashing. That’s why this week, “Moving Without the Ball” has teamed up with Jonathan Huang’s weekly waiver wire piece to bring you “Moving Huang Without Waiver the Ball Wire.” It’s a working title.

Need To Be Owned. Period.

Toney Douglas (PG/SG, NYK)
Hello, handsome! He’s owned in 63 percent of Yahoo! leagues, so the secret is already out. If you are in one of the 40 percent of leagues where he’s available, you should definitely scoop him up. Yes, he’s coming off the bench, but remember how successful Nate Robinson was before his run in with Mike D’Antoni coming off the pine. Douglas gives the Knicks an energy guy who can play defense and score in many different ways. He’s scoring 16.5 points per game, stealing 2.5 balls and hitting 1.8 threes. The steals will dip below 2.0 per game, but he should be able to sustain the rest of his numbers. His 4.2 rebounds per game will also drop slightly, but I can see his assist numbers (2.2) creeping up toward 3-3.5 per game. Douglas is for real and well worth the add.
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Damn Lies Fantasy Preview: Toronto Raptors

 

Mess with the bull and get the horns, Lorenzo!

 

Well, it was bound to happen. Welcome to the 2010-11 season, Raptors fans. I would like to introduce you to your franchise player, Andrea Bargnani. My brother from another madre. Gone are the days of a soft 20 and 10 from Chris Bosh, and here are the days of an even softer 18 and 8 (plus 1.5 blocks and 1.5 threes!) from Bargnani. To be honest with you, from a fantasy standpoint Bargs might have better year-end value this season than Bosh. Wouldn’t surprise me one bit. But then again, he’s a fellow paisan.  My love for him doesn’t go as deep as my adoration for Danilo Gallinari, but no one’s ever complained about being Tom Lorenzo’s No. 2.

LIES
Jose Calderon is the highest paid Raptor, yet it’s Jarrett Jack who’s earning his pay at the point guard. Calderon burned fantasy owners last season and it’s pretty evident from the early mocks I’ve been in that they’ve yet to forgive and forget. He was nothing more than a mediocre point guard, when healthy. Jack wasn’t much to write Rome about, but at least he played all 82 games. That being said, neither interest me that much. If I can grab Calderon in the 10th I might give him a look. Hey, how about giving Marcus Banks a look?

DAMN LIES
Linas Kleiza has returned to the NBA! Woo-hoo! I wonder, yes, it’s true, I wonder what kind of value he’ll have in Toronto. I mean, it’s not as if he was a terrible player when he left for Greece. With Denver he was good for about 10 points, 4 rebounds, and over a three per game. Not terrible. But then again that was in Denver where the ball was dominated by Carmelo Anthony and for almost the entire 2008-09 season he was in a timeshare with J.R. Smith. Look at the Raptors roster and tell me you can’t see Kleiza playing 22-25 minutes. That could turn into a productive value add, no? Yeah, you’re probably right.

STATISTICS
Not only do I like the numbers that Bargs can put up this season, but I may just take Leandro Barbosa as my second Raptor. Barbosa is a guy who can give you 15+ points and add 1.5 threes and close to 1.5 steals. How’s that for a 10th rounder! Seriously, though, after Bargnani who do you take? Amir Johnson has nice upside and I can see him posting big blocks numbers, but nowhere else has his game developed. He’s a last round pick as far as I’m concerned. Julian Wright intrigues me as someone who could steal some balls, but he too is unproven. Then there’s DeMar DeRozan. I would definitely take a shot on DeRozan in the final few rounds, but he’s got some holes in his game. I like how efficient he is (49.9 FG%, only 0.8 TOs), but he can’t shoot the three-ball, doesn’t dish the ball, and isn’t a good rebounder. Nice value, but I’m not crazy about him. Again, after Bargs tell me who you would take next. Barbosa?

DEPTH CHART
PG: Jarrett Jack, Jose Calderon
SG: DeMar DeRozan, Leandro Barbosa
SF: Linas Kleiza, Julian Wright
PF: Amir Johnson, Ed Davis
C: Andrea Bargnani, David Andersen

Up Next: Charlotte Bobcats

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Experts League Playoff Draft: Talkin’ Strategy

Oh, just because the regular season is over doesn’t mean that the fantasy hoops fun needs to stop! At least not here at the DL&S offices. See, we decided to invite some of the top fantasy basketball experts to join our fantasy hoops playoff league. The rules are simple: draft eight players (2 G, 2 F, 1 C, 2 UTIL) and then left the fun begin! We decided against having any transactions or even having a bench.

The scoring system is as follows:

Points: 1 pt
FT: 1 pt
Assists: 2 pts
Rebounds: 2 pts
3-pointers: 3 pts
Steals: 5 pts
Blocks: 6 pts
Turnovers: -3 pts

As for the participants (you’re going to love this)…

Jeff Andriesse, RotoExperts/Damn Lies & Statistics
Tom Lorenzo, RotoExperts/Damn Lies & Statistics
Greg Fox, Damn Lies & Statistics
Steve Alexander, Rotoworld
Tamer Chamma, RotoExperts/RotoRadio
Dave Gawron, RotoCommunity
Tommy Beer, Hoopsworld
Patrick Madden, Give Me the Rock
Nels Wadycki, Give Me the Rock
Rick Kamla, NBAtv
Eric Wong, RotoEvil

With draft day here, the DL&S staff decided to give you a little insight into our fantasy playoff strategy. Obviously, you can’t just go and take the best player available — unless that best player is the King of Cleveland — since once a player’s team is eliminated from the playoffs, he is then sent to a farm upstate to join your old family dog.

And with the first pick of the second round, Jeff Andriesse selects Anthony Parker.

Jeff Andriesse

It seems like just 14 years ago that we got together for our fantasy basketball drafts, the season but a gleam in our eyes and our fantasy futures limitless. With the ending of the regular season on Wednesday, a profound sense of loss has swept through Damn Lies & Statistics corporate headquarters. Not only will we have to figure out a way to get on with our lives with no more fantasy hoops, but we’ve come to the realization that a 32,000-square-foot office park for a staff of three was a bit much to put on the ol’ company credit card.

As for the latter problem, we’re probably going to go with a strategy of tip-toeing out of town around 5 pm and leaving the keys under the mat. As for the former, we’ve decided to extend our fantasy seasons by starting up an NBA Playoffs fantasy league.

This is my first one, so I’m pretty excited. Not only will this keep my mind off my fantasy baseball players blowing saves, going 0-for-5 or getting caught stealing with startling regularity, but we can have another draft. That in itself is awesome. But postseason playoffs leagues bring the added strategy of getting to shape your team based on your own predictions for team success.

LeBron James is going to be the first pick, but then what? Are the Lakers going all the way, and if so, I have to consider whether I want to taint my team with the abhorrent Kobe Bryant. Kevin Durant is arguably the game’s No. 2 pick in next year’s draft… but when he’s on the No. 8 seed in the West, he probably won’t be around long enough to help your team.

Since our league is points-based, the strategy is to load up on stars from the top seeds first, then work your way down. If you have a hunch on a team such as, say, Utah, you could choose to load up on Jazz players in an all-or-nothing strategy that will pay off if they get to the Finals. It’s probably best, however, to have a wide range of talent from teams you are confident can get to the Conference Finals. Yes, this is a league where Mo Williams could be a better pick than both Durant and Dwyane Wade.

Unfortunately, the matchups this year are really tough to predict, especially in the West. Other than the Lakers series (and the Thunder can certainly give them hell there), each matchup is a toss-up. It might make more sense to target players from the top four seeds in the East – Cleveland, Orlando, Atlanta and Boston – than having to sweat out Dirk Nowitzki even getting out of the first round.

Whatever happens, it’s a new season, a new draft, and a level of excitement I haven’t reached since five seconds from now when I have to jump from my second-floor corner office window and evade the fire from federal helicopters in a desperate sprint across the parking lot. I forgot it is also Tax Day.

Greg Fox

Now that the 82-game warmup is over, I’m ready for my first foray into postseason fantasy NBA. My strategy for Friday night’s draft in our points-based league is simple: Do my best Willy Loman impression and talk up the guys who I think are going down in the first round as if they are playing for the ’66-67 Philadelphia Warriors. While Dwyane Wade is a Greek God in fantasy, can I convince the 10 other owners that the Heat have a chance in round one against the Celtics? All they need to do is look at that pathetic Miami roster to know that D-Wade will be working on his Fave Five in South Beach by early May.

"I should have taken D-Wade!"

After that strategy fails miserably, I will go with the chalk and absorb the best available starters on the Cavaliers and hated Lakers. But after LeBron James, Kobe Bryant, Pau Gasol, Lamar Odom, Antawn Jamison and Mo Williams, would I rather have 22 average games out of Ron Artest or 11-17 solid games out of Joe Johnson? Twenty two out of Anderson Varejao or 11 out of Carlos Boozer?

The Eastern Conference looks pretty straightforward in the opening round, though the Bobcats, Bucks and Heat could give the higher seeds a good run for their money. The West is an absolute crapshoot, though the Trail Blazers, sans Brandon Roy, will be hard-pressed to get past a mediocre but streaking Suns team. I feel as if the winner of the Dallas/San Antonio series will get past the winner of the Phoenix/Portland tumble and face the Lakers. That team, whether it be the Mavs or Spurs, might get 16-18 games out of its key players, potentially rendering Dirk Nowitzki, Caron Butler, Jason Terry and Jason Kidd or Manu Ginobili, Tony Parker and Tim Duncan pretty potent selections.

So there you have it. I actually don’t have a feel for who is going to go far. I think the Suns stink but will win in round one. The Nuggets are always tough to beat at home, but the Jazz are playing well and will find a way to play an additional six games. After the players from the Cavs and Lakers are taken, the safe move will be to grab guys from the Magic, Hawks and Celtics, three teams that should at least get to the second round.

Tom Lorenzo

What’s my strategy? First, get the Internet at my apartment to work. I’ve been having “connection” problems for some time now. How’s that for a strategy!

The second part of my strategy is to, obviously, maximize on games played. Jeff makes a lot of sense when he says that Mo Williams is probably a better pick than Durant or Wade — though, I wouldn’t count out Wade. (I know Jeff’s a Celtics guy, but I don’t think the Heat are going to roll over in the first round. If they can make a deep run into the second round — meaning a seven game series in round one followed by a six or seven game series in round two — you might be looking at a Top 5 guy in the playoffs. He’s that good, that in 14 games he can put up enough numbers to make it worth your while.)

I’m hoping to get a top talent who should at least have a shot at playing in their respective Conference Finals — LeBron, Kobe, Pau Gasol, Dwight Howard, etc. From there, I’m not going to be afraid to jump on some possible “one-and-done” guys — Carmelo Anthony, Deron Williams, etc. See, the Jazz and the Nuggets play each other in the first round, meaning one is definitely a one-and-done team — the question is, which one? If you hit it right, you’ll get a talent like Williams or Melo for at least two rounds. Get it wrong and, well, one-and-done!

I’m staying away from Blazers, Bull, and Bobcats. Those three teams have no chance of making it passed round one (the Thunder as well, but I can’t promise I will stay away from Durant). Especially Portland, now that Brandon Roy is out.

Finally, I’m going to use the old Lorenzo technique of “pointing and picking.” I’m going to point at a player, and pick him. There are a ton of bright fantasy basketball minds in this league. There’s little room for error and I’ve found in the past that my point-and-pick strategy sometimes works better than over-thinking.

I’m sure we’ll run through a little draft re-cap this weekend, so make sure you come back for that. You’ll want to see who jumped on Durant in the first round. I’m not counting myself out of the Durant sweepstakes, so it may very well be me!


Weekendly Lies & Statistics: Kevin Martin? Who?

Tyreke Evans, you are free to walk alone.

Oh what a weekend it was. Who’s this Kevin Martin fella and what sport does he really play? Nevermind him, some guy named Tyreke Evans just showed up and all is well in Sacramento. In his first game playing alongside the great Beno Udrih, Evans posted 32 points, seven assists, two threes, a steal and 16-of-19 shooting from the free-throw line. He followed that up with a 23-point performance last night against the Warriors. The Kings are now 2-0 since the Kev-Mart injury. Kevin Martin who?

Michael Bogut beget Andrew Bogut, and Andrew Bogut be-getting better. His favorite music genres are House, Trance, Classic Rock, Pop, Croatian, and the Organ music at the Garden. He was groovin’ on Saturday to the tune of 22 points on 8-of-14 shooting, eight rebounds, four assists, one block and 6-of-6 from the line against the Knicks. When talking trash, one could say that Bogut beget the Knicks defense… son!

Joakim Noah is all smiles after his performance against the Bobcats on Saturday. He scored a career-high 21 points, pulled down 16 rebounds and blocked four shots. I dropped Tyson Chandler this past week, if you must know.

Josh Howard returned to action scoring 16 points on 5-of-12 shooting with four rebounds, two assists and three steals. I still don’t like him. What’s wrong with me?

Allen Iverson left the Grizzlies on Saturday for “personal” reasons. Eli Manning almost just threw an interception. Yeah, neither of those events really affects any of my fantasy endeavors. Although Iverson may or may not return, meaning that those dudes who happened to auto-draft Mike Conley in the 10th round should be pretty happy about that.

Channing Frye, Amar’e Stoudemire, and Grant Hill all posted big man double-doubles against the Wizards on Sunday. Steve Nash added 11 points and 17 dimes. No word on whether any snacks were hurt by Antawn Jamison after that performance.

Ben Wallace posted 16 rebounds, three steals, three blocks and the ceremonial two-point basket against the 76ers. Those of you who decided to spend your Sunday afternoon shopping instead of watching the Pistons-76ers game had a better afternoon than I did.

Oklahoma City said “oh no he didn’t” last night and b-slapped the Orlando Magic. Sure, the Magic were without Vince Carter, Ryan Anderson, and Rashard Lewis but that’s no excuse. Fun fact: heading into yesterday’s game Howard was shooting 80.5 percent from the line in the month of November (4 games, 10.3 attempts per) and left the game shooting 10-of-17. Still, not bad for the big fella.

Glad to see we got that so-called position battle figured out in Portland. Andre Miller and Steve Blake are both starting in the back-court. Miller had his “coming out” party last night with 21 points on 9-of-14 shooting. He had just three assists, but whatever, we’ll take anything we can get out of him.

Miller’s teammate Brandon Roy managed to score just TWO points. Ugh. Of the 11 Blazers who got court-time, Roy finished with the fewest points.

Nelson doesn't have the gut(s) to stick with a rotation.

I am getting sick just trying to figure out what to do with my Golden State Warriors. Last night Monta Ellis, Stephen Curry and Andris Biedrins combined for 20 points. Anthony Morrow and Anthony Randolph combined for 25 points. Whaaaa?

D.J. Mbenga with his second straight strong showing last night with 10 points, 12 rebounds and four blocks. Too bad Pau Gasol and Andrew Bynum are on their way back.  But, considering Mbenga’s probably not getting many props in the blogosphere, he’s gonna get his dues here at DL&S.

As a friendly reminder, the Wizards, Pacers, Bucks and Kings all play just twice this week. Oh, and George Steinbrenner wanted me to remind you that pitchers and catchers report in 96 days.


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