Tag Archives: Dirk Nowitzki

RotoExperts Draft Kit: Top 25 Power Forwards

Who's more slimmed down this year?

From the RotoExperts 2011-12 NBA Draft Kit

The following rankings are based on a nine-category, head-to-head league format (PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3FG, FG%, FT%, TO). We break down players into tiers as well to help you organize them within your overall cheat sheets. These rankings take into account not just stat projections, but injury risk, competition for minutes and other intangibles.



1. Kevin Love, MIN

Projected Stats: 20.9 PPG, 15.3 RPG, 2.6 APG, 1.2 3FG, 0.7 SPG, 0.5 BPG, 2.0 TO, 46.7 FG%, 85.2 FT%

Yes, believe it or not, Love is the top power forward in the NBA. Not only will he most likely lead the league in rebounding, but he’ll score north of 20 points per game, hit over one 3-pointer and make 85 percent of his free throws. You’d like to see him put up better numbers on the defensive side of the ball, but if he were a big-time defender we’d be talking about him as the No. 1 overall pick, not just the top power forward. Continue reading

Fantasy & Free Agent Fest: Southwest Division

In the days leading up to the start of free agency on Dec. 9, Damn Lies & Statistics will be taking a look at each team’s potential moves, top fantasy players and more. Behold: The Southwest Division.

Fantasy-Worthy Players Under Contract (H2H Draft Round in Parentheses): F Dirk Nowitzki (1/2), G Jason Kidd (8), G Jason Terry (10/11), C Brendan Haywood (13), F Shawn Marion (14)
Key Unrestricted Free Agents: C Tyson Chandler, G/F Caron Butler, G Jose Juan Barea
Key Restricted Free Agents: None
What to Look For: Things could be different for the defending champs as free agents Chandler, Butler and Barea might be bowled over by money elsewhere. It behooves fantasy owners to be on their toes with this group. Haywood is worth considering if Chandler walks, but the big man is risky if you are relying on him as a No. 2 fantasy center. Rudy Fernandez is now a Mav, but there is chatter that he could stay overseas. Roddy Beaubois has a chance to really take a larger role this season, but we’re in “believe it when we see it” mode. He’s coming off foot surgery. Nowitzki is no longer a top five pick. I like him at the end of the first round in most formats.
The Damn Lies Bold Recipe: The Mavericks should do everything in their power to keep Chandler, as heading into your title defense with Haywood at center isn’t ideal, to say the least. Mark Cuban and/or Nowitzki need to convince Fernandez to play for Dallas this year. He’s a nice infusion of energy who can replicate much of what Barea and Butler gave them. Continue reading

An Exceedingly Optimistic 2011-12 Fantasy Basketball Top 100

I finally made it to the fifth stage. First, there was denial, which naturally turned to anger. Bargaining was next. Then I got a sandwich. It was tasty. From there, I hit depression. They skimped on the pickles. Finally – and here it is September by gosh – I’m all about acceptance. Acceptance that The Game, on which this web site is predicated, could conceivably shutter for a long time. I have to realize there might not be a season, which means no fantasy season, which means… I don’t want to think about it. Yep, I’m already over acceptance. I’m coming full circle. Back to denial! It’s time for my Exceedingly Optimistic 2011-12 Fantasy Basketball Top 100. It cannot be denied.

Let’s set the scene: Rankings are based on a standard 9-category rotisserie league; Special attention paid to the Top 15 (the first tier); 82-game regular season beginning on Nov. 1, 2011; David Stern and Billy Hunter spooning. Good enough? Let’s begin.

1. LeBron James, MIA – Ignore his odd performance in the Finals and expect an 82-game season for the ages.
2. Kevin Durant, OKC – If he’s to go No. 1 in any format, it is this one (to repeat, a 9-cat roto league that begins on Nov. 1, 2011, natch), thanks to his amazing free throw shooting and sub-3.0 turnovers. Continue reading

2011-12 Damn Mock I: First Round

You’re damn right Damn Lies is mocking.

We know it’s the middle of the Finals. We know both the draft and free agency are still to come. We know there may be a lockout. Yet nothing can stop our collective yen to mock draft. We want to mock the first, mock the most, and mock the people responsible for the Miller Lite “man up” commercials.

So with that, we present Round 1 of the earliest 2011-12 fantasy mock draft on the web. Jeff, Tom and Greg are taking four teams each in this 12-team league, which is a nine-category rotisserie league (FG%, FT%, PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3FG, TO) that will draft the following: 1 PG, 1 SG, 1 SF, 1 PF, 2 C, 1 F, 1 G, 2 U. We’ll be building each team ourselves based on this format. Hope you enjoy, and feel free to mock us in the Comments.


Team 1 (Greg) – Kevin Durant – It would be unfair if Durant actually reached his potential. I felt he was a little disappointing in 2010-11 and still put up sick totals (27.7 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 1.0 bpg, 1.1 spg, 1.9 3-pt, 88% FT). A case can be made For LeBron, Rose, Paul and even Wade, but the safe money has KD in the top spot. Continue reading

Damn Lies Fantasy Hoops Show: Is This Thing On?

The latest installment of the Damn Lies Fantasy Hoops Show took place Saturday as Jeff and Greg got together to talk some hoops. Jeff’s bumbling behind the controls led to an awkward first minute or so while he tried to get Greg on the Bat Phone. Then after Jeff spent, in his estimation, not nearly enough time gloating about his huge lead in the fantasy playoffs league, they shifted gears to discuss the NBA Finals. Particularly Game 2. Both guys agreed that we have a series on our hands and that Dallas landed a serious left hook at the perfect time. The show turns quickly into a comedy routine as Jeff teases Greg with visions of Isiah Thomas returning to run Greg’s beloved Knicks. Also discussed: Ricky Rubio signing with Minnesota and how it solidifies David Kahn as the No. 1 pick in a 2011 fantasy moron GM draft.

You can listen to the show here:
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Fox Unbalanced: Wake Me Up for the Playoffs, Part II

VCU has Shaka'd the world

You know, I’ve watched this VCU team a few times during the NCAA Tournament and not until the Elite Eight did I realize that Shaka Smart was the head coach. I swear I thought Nantz and Kellogg were referring to the team’s undersized big man who is killing people down low. Live and learn. He doesn’t look like a Shaka Smart… I mean, if one is born with this name, this person’s career is pretty much mapped out for him. It’s either bouncer, hitman, Zulu warrior or power forward. I wouldn’t think “coach” would be in the mix.

Last week, as the sight of my team in the Damn Lies standings had me on the brink of forging a prescription request from my internist for a cauldron of Zoloft, I escaped from the depression by breaking down the potential first round of a 10-team, eight-category, points-based playoffs league. Since it did momentarily have me thinking twice about accepting that harnessless window-washing job at the Chrysler Building, I figured I might as well put together round two.

Here was Round 1…

1. Derrick Rose

2. Kobe Bryant

3. Pau Gasol

4. Kevin Durant

5. Rajon Rondo

6. LeBron James

7. Dwyane Wade

8. Russell Westbrook

9. Serge Ibaka

10. Luol Deng

Round 2… Continue reading

Damn Lies Midseason Report: Southwest Division

Let’s be honest, all you care about is the Super Bowl. Am I right? Of course I’m not. You only care about the commercials.

This weekend Super Bowl XLV will be played in Dallas. In case you’re reading this and you don’t know who’s playing, mom, the matchup is between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Green Bay Packers. BUT, this week it’s all about Dallas. Just ask Jerry Jones. And since we’re talking about Dallas, we might as well hand out our Southwest Division hardware. And in case you wonder where I’m going with this, mom, the Dallas Mavericks are in the Southwest. Yes, I made this intro come full circle.

In our fifth installment od the Damn Lies Midseason Awards, we present our readers with the Southwest Division hardware… show.

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Moving Without the Ball: Hung Injuries

Hey KG, don't sleep on your buddy Glen Davis.

Original to RotoExperts.com

Much like the calendar year, many ankles are starting to turn in the NBA. Injuries to high-profile players are piling up. You have sprains, bumps, bruises, tears and flu-like symptoms as the main culprits. So, naturally, you need to make due off the wires. This week I’ve decided to go around the league and touch on the most Fantasy-relevant injuries in the NBA. We’ll talk short-term and long-term injuries, plus point to a few players who can help you while you’re dealing with a gimpy player.

Atlanta: Marvin Williams (back) is not expected to play for the Hawks this week. Jamal Crawford has seen more minutes due to Williams’ absence, though he’s not going to be available in your league. Deeper leagues could look at Maurice Evans, but he has no real place in 12-team leagues.

Boston: Paul Pierce sprained his ankle on Sunday against the Raptors, but the injury doesn’t appear to be serious. Unfortunately, the Celtics have to turn around and play again on Monday. He is considered a game-time decision. … Kevin Garnett is out for another 10-14 days. With that being the case, Glen Davis is a must-own in all formats.

Continue reading

Damn Lies Fantasy Preview: Dallas Mavericks

All right, I admit it. I drank the Kool Aid late last season and thought the Mavericks had a chance to go a few rounds in the playoffs. I mean they did win 23 of their final 29 regular season games to secure the #2 seed in the West, and by acquiring Brendan Haywood and Caron Butler from the Wizards, it seemed as if they filled the defense and rebounding voids that would have had them bowing out early.  So what did they do? They bowed out to the Spurs in the first round. This is a team of big names and fantasy legends and as there are just so many minutes to go around, we’ll see if this creates problems.

The cornerstones of Mark Cuban’s squad – Dirk Nowitzki and Jason Kidd – are both a year older, Nowitzki now 32 and Kidd 37, and who knows when they will stop aiming to please.  Despite his mileage, Lubinski, as my wife called him last night, remains fantasy gold and a first-round lock.  True, his rebounds (7.7) and 3-pointers (0.6) were down last year, but his point total (25.0), assists (2.7), percentages (48% fg, 42% 3-pt, 92% ft), steals (0.9), blocks (1.0) and lack of turnovers (1.8) render him one of the most unique and valuable multi-category assets in the game.

Kidd, who looked like a grizzled veteran as a sophomore at Cal, is a freak of nature and somehow continues to produce third-round value year-after-year.   In ’09-10, not only did he grab 5.6 rebounds, swipe 1.8 Spaldings, and hand out his customary 9.1 assists, he shot threes at a mind-bending 43 percent clip, knocking down a career-best 2.2 per game. When Kidd decides to ride off into the sunset, this will be Rodrigue Beaubois‘ team.  I say this because I just want to continue spewing the name Rodrigue Beaubois.  But this 22-year old frenchman is no flash in the Au Bon Pain.   He is an absolute jet and capable of big scoring, assists, steals and 3-point totals.  He may not be ready for the start of the regular season as recovers from a busted left foot, but draft him around the 12th round and stash him as he could conceivably supplant Butler at shooting guard.


No matter how much Shawn Marion regresses, he still won't represent the lamest final act of a Matrix.


Just a few seasons ago in Washington, people were pulling the trigger on Butler in the early second round of drafts.  His salad days are clearly over, though he is still capable of 15-17 points, a bunch of steals and a handful of threes.  I’m not touching him until the middle rounds as last season he appeared to lose a step or three. Another former fantasy hall-of-famer, Shawn Marion, could start at small forward, but Butler could take over this position if Beaubois earns the nod at shooting guard.  Things haven’t worked out for the offensively limited Matrix in Dallas, but if you need a few blocks and steals at the end of your draft, he should be available.

I don’t think I’ve ever seen Jason Terry miss an open three, but last year we may have seen the first signs of decline for the 33-year old sharpshooter. Even though Terry may have taken a step back and is part of a congested backcourt, this is not a bad guy to target late.  He’ll still get you 15-17 points, around 2.0 threes per game, more than a steal, and he’ll shoot a high percentage from the line.  Oh, and he sill makes over $9 million a year, so that paycheck will not be rotting on the bench anytime soon.  In the middle, Haywood, who at 30 years of age is coming off of his best statistical season, can’t be thrilled with the addition of Tyson Chandler as the two will eat into each other’s value.  Haywood will still provide decent boards and blocks and could serve as a solid third center if taken in the mid-to-late rounds.

PG: Jason Kidd, Jose Juan Barea
SG: Rodrigue Beaubois, Jason Terry
SF: Caron Butler, Shawn Marion
PF: Dirk Nowitzki, Ian Mahinmi
C: Brendan Haywood, Tyson Chandler

Up Next: Indiana Pacers

Full Schedule

Daily Lies & Statistics: Passers Need Not Apply

The final few weeks of an NBA regular season is simply a feeding frenzy for those given the green light to hoist shots at will. Case in point: Al Harrington. I think Harrington was the kid in school who started the ol’ ‘one for you, one for me… two for you, one-two for me’ routine at the corner candy store. But he is also the guy who is leading many a fantasy team to a championship.

Al Harrington has installed a Pop-a-Shot in his backyard to simulate his ideal game conditions.

Last night he erupted for 26 points (3-9 3-pt fg) and 17 rebounds in New York’s 103-98 loss at Utah and has averaged 24.3 points, 8.3 rebounds and 3.0 3-pointers per contest over his last three. And the best thing about Big Al is that his owners never have to worry about him deferring to a teammate.

Harrington was not alone in the monster game department last night. Let’s take a look-see.

Carlos Boozer: For some reason, Boozer never gets talked about as being an elite power forward. When healthy, he not only dominates the glass, he is also a force offensively in the interior. Last night he was healthy enough to dismantle the Knicks with 26 points (11-16 fg) and 14 rebounds. A free agent at season’s end, he could find himself with a max contract in July.

Deron Williams: Boozer’s partner in crime posted a cool 23 points (5-8 3-pt fg) and 14 assists against the defensively challenged ‘bockers last night. The Jazz are fighting for playoff position and have a leader in Jerry Sloan, who coaches every game as if it were Game Seven.

Andrea Bargnani: Oh those big men who shoot threes and block shots. Bargnani is in elite company with the Anthony Tollivers of the world. Last night he racked up 16 points, nine boards and added three 3-pointers and a block as the Raptors scored an all-important 103-101 win in Charlotte.

Ray Felton: I can always count on Felton to post huge lines when I don’t have him in my lineup. Last night he tortured me with 18 points, five rebounds and seven assists while knocking down a season-high four 3-pointers.

Brook Lopez: Led the Nets to their third win in four tries with 22 points and 12 boards over a stunned San Antonio team. To be fair, the Spurs were playing without Manu Ginobili in this one and fell asleep in the calming environs of Izod Center during the six-minute timeout of the third quarter.

Courtney Lee: It’s not every day that a smoking hot Asian woman can tally 19 points and six rebounds in an NBA game, but the proof is in the pudding.

DeJuan Blair: The rookie dominated the backboards to the tune of 11 points and 11 caroms in only 17 minutes of work. The question is, why did he only clock in for 17 minutes, Gregg Popovich?

Pau Gasol: Gasol took his life in his own hands by registering 26 points, 22 rebounds and two blocks in a 108-100 loss to the stumbling Hornets last night. Kobe will not put up with any teammate of his posting those kinds of numbers and promises to freeze the big Spaniard out of the next three games.

Chris Paul: The Chris Paul we drafted with a top 2 pick finally gave a Chris Paul performance with 15 points, four boards and 13 assists in the win over the Lakers. Paul could win many fantasy championships over the course of the next two weeks.

Dirk Nowitzki: Nowitzki’s night was a thing of beauty as he finished with 34 points (4-5 3-pt fg, 16-17 ft), 10 rebounds and 10 assists as the Mavs defeated the Nuggets 109-93 and have flown past them into the #2 spot in the Western Conference.

Shawn Marion: Marion, a first round pick by many as little as three seasons ago, is kind of a forgotten man. He has been playing well of late and last night finished with 21 points (9-13 fg) and two steals. He and Andrei Kirilenko should go bowling together and talk about the good old days.

J.R. Smith: While Carmelo Anthony and Chauncey Billups combined on a foul 6-for-30 from the floor, Smith gave the Nuggets a puncher’s chance with 27 points (10-16 fg), a steal and a block. Smith, not known for his court vision, could help teams in need of threes down the stretch.

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