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RotoExperts Draft Kit: Top 25 Point Guards

"That's where I'm going to jump. Just throw it to me."

From the RotoExperts 2011-12 NBA Draft Kit

These rankings were written on Dec. 15 and published a day later. If written today I would jump Kyrie Irving into the fourth tier, have Jarrett Jack in the sixth tier (since the Hornets haven’t procured another point guard), drop Toney Douglas a few spots (thanks to Baron Davis signing in New York) and take D.J. Augustin down a few notches in fear of a Kemba Walker coup d’etat. 

In the midst of a wild NBA offseason and uncertainty as far as the eye can see, Fantasy owners need the steady hand of a point guard to guide their team. The best NBA point guards are also some of the best Fantasy players, and no championship team is complete without at least a few of the top options on this list. The top Fantasy point guards anchor your team in assists and are often positive contributors in several other categories.

The following rankings are based on a nine-category, head-to-head league format (PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3FG, FG%, FT%, TO), using Yahoo!’s positional eligibility. We break down players into tiers as well to help you organize them within your overall cheat sheets. Finally: this is a list of true point guards expected to play the majority of their minutes at this position this season. There are several combo guards, such as Dwyane Wade, who are eligible at point guard in some leagues but ranked on the shooting guard list for our purposes.In tumultuous times like these, it is best to write your own cheat sheets in pencil and be prepared to move things around as needed based on roles changing and injuries sprouting up. The Chris Paul trade is a great example of this. Luckily, CP3 doesn’t move much as he’s the top Fantasy point guard in the game.

These rankings take into account not just stat projections, but injury risk, competition for minutes and other intangibles.



1. Chris Paul, LAC

Projected Stats: 17.8 PPG,  4.1 RPG, 10.9 APG, 1.0 3FG, 2.3 SPG, 0.1 BPG, 2.7 TO, 46.9 FG%, 85.5 FT%

Paul has finally been traded, and visions of CP3 setting up Blake Griffin for breathtaking alley-oops are dancing in the heads of everyone who is now claiming they’ve been a diehard Clippers fan all along. Paul should be thrilled to land in this spot where he has a pair of top-notch finishers underneath in Griffin and DeAndre Jordan, and talent at other positions as well. In all the drama over where he was going to get traded, it’s easy to forget that he carries with him some risk due to his questionable knees. If he plays a full season at close to 100 percent, Paul is the top point guard and easy No. 3 pick in all formats. Continue reading

2011-12 Damn Mock I: Seventh Round

I suppose we went on a bit of a point guard run in this round. Nearly half the picks were point guards, not including the combo guards who were also selected. The two picks which interested me the most in this round were the James Harden and Marcus Thornton ones. I went ahead and picked Harden, who still might end up coming off the bench for the Thunder, as talented as he is, while Greg went for Thornton. What interests me about Thornton is that he has tons of talent, but there’s still a bit of a logjam at the guard position in Sacramento. You have Tryeke Evans and Beno Udrih slotted to start, right? Not that room won’t be made for Thornton, but I would feel more comfortable if he had more playing time lined up. Should be interesting, though.

The rules: Jeff, Tom and Greg are taking four teams each in this 12-team league, which is a nine-category rotisserie league (FG%, FT%, PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3FG, TO) that will draft the following: 1 PG, 1 SG, 1 SF, 1 PF, 2 C, 1 F, 1 G, 2 U. We’ll be building each team ourselves based on this format. Hope you enjoy, and feel free to mock us in the Comments.



73. Team 1 (Greg) – Ray Allen – Like fine Manischewitz, Ray Allen just keeps getting better with age. Well, not really, but he is still damn effective, particularly from a fantasy perspective. In his age 35 season, Mr. Shuttlesworth managed to shoot a career best 49 percent from the field, knocked down 2.1 threes per game, and turned it over only 1.5 times. His free throw shooting did fall off to only 88 percent, his poorest percentage in a decade, but it was still good enough to rank among league leaders. The ageless wonder remains fantasy gold and is a nice get for Team 1, which is in need of 3-point shooting. Continue reading

Fox Unbalanced: Courting Carmelo

Two guys who won't be able to go back to Denver.

I’ve never been known to have any real faith. I go to church once a year, been to temple twice in the last 30, and the last time I was in the vicinity of a mosque the alarms went off. Here is the short list of the things I do have faith in: that the earth will continue to rotate around its axis and not hurtle towards the sun; that my hiatal hernia will continue to contribute to my heinous acid reflux; that my four-month old German Shepherd will continue to make pee-pees on my 130-year old wood floors; and that Donnie Walsh is smart enough not to part ways with any combination of Landry Fields, Wilson Chandler and Danilo Gallinari in a deal with Denver that lands him Carmelo Anthony.

The Knicks have a good thing going right now and for their current chemistry to be messed with, they’d be taking a big gamble. Even though my eyes are bleeding from watching my own fantasy team, I still have enough vision to know that Anthony is not the piece to put them over the top. He is a great offensive talent, arguably the top inside-outside threat in the game. I also know that he is clearly better than either of the three guys linked in the trade… whatever.

Talent alone doesn’t put a team in the upper echelon… defense, toughness, smarts and chemistry do. The Knicks can score with anyone and are playing some pretty underrated defense right now and Fields, Chandler and Gallinari are a big part of that. New York needs an Anderson Varejao, or a DeAndre Jordan, or a Nene, some modern day version of Charles Oakley, sans the long-range marksmanship, to co-exist with Amare Stoudemire up front. They are being linked right now to Jordan and Marc Gasol, two solid fits.

Whomever Carmelo goes to will likely see him immediately ink a long-term extension as labor negotiations this summer could change the league’s financial landscape.  An Anthony deal is going to happen before the end of the month as he has become a dead man walking in the Rocky Mountains. Nets owner Mikhail Prokhorov will do what he has to do to get him to board a plane to Newark, despite Melo’s claim that he only wants to run with Mike D’Antoni’s club. Let’s see how this would shake out for each player involved from a fantasy perspective. Continue reading

Damn Lies Fantasy Preview: New Jersey Nets

There are many questions surrounding the Newark, New Jersey Nets in 2010-11, including who will start at shooting guard between Terrence Williams and Anthony Morrow, and who will start the season at power forward if Troy Murphy is not ready?  But since the departure of Yi Jianlian, the biggest question on everyone’s mind is who will be the go-to Net when needed at a season-ticket holder’s Bar Mitzvah?  You see, last year the Nets’ marketing department concocted a devastating ploy to increase season subscriptions by offering up the Net of the ticket-holder’s choice to attend one of his or her functions, including Bar and Bat Mitzvahs.  I still can’t get the imagery of Yi in a yarmulke out of my head.

Brown paper bags are the new yarmulkes.

This is officially Brook Lopez‘s team and the talented seven-footer is going off draft boards in the early second round.  Last season, he averaged 18.8 points, 8.6 rebounds and 1.7 blocks and was also among leaders at his position in steals (0.7) and free throw percentage (.817).  Having Murphy beside him may keep his rebounding average below double figures, but it should also open things in the interior a bit more.  Murphy had been an underrated fantasy star as a member of the Pacers and although there might be a slight falloff, his numbers should remain pretty steady.  He is one of few big men who can average double-digit rebounds (10.2 in ’09-10) and nearly two threes per game (1.8), and even hobbled by a bad back in the preseason, he shouldn’t last past the sixth round.

For those of you who, like me, drafted Devin Harris in the second round last year, I’m pleased to report that not only did we survive the torrent of feces that was rained upon us, no one took matters into his own hands to tar and feather the little bastard.  Harris’ most redeeming quality in ’09-10 was that he barely played. On the rare occasion that he wasn’t laid up with Dengue Fever or some other mysterious ailment, he was an atrocity as he dropped in every major category from the previous year except for blocks (0.3) and turnovers (2.8).  The reason I am so hard on Harris is because the man has plenty of raw ability.  He is one of the quickest guard in the game, and on a team where he is relied on to both score and create, last year’s results were bitterly disappointing.  The injury bug will bite again, that you can be sure of, but he has to perform better for Avery Johnson than he did for Lawrence Frank and Kiki Vandeweghe.  The sixth round is where he belongs.

Williams and Morrow will likely end up in a time share which severely limits their upside.  Morrow is one of the deadliest long-range shooters in the league, having knocked down 47 and 46 percent, respectively, the last two years.  He doesn’t do enough in any other category to warrant earlier than a 12th round selection, unless of course Williams goes down.  Speaking of, if Morrow were to go down or if Travis Outlaw doesn’t come as recommended, Williams can fill either role and is kind of a poor man’s Stephen Jackson.  He can do a little bit of everything, including draining some threes.  He also shoots a horrifying percentage from the field like Captain Jack, converting only 40 percent  of his chances as a rookie.  I think he should be gobbled up before Morrow in the middle rounds and hope that his coach thinks 30 minutes a night is a reasonable target.

Outlaw showed flashes of what he can do as a reserve the past seven years in Portland and now he finally has a chance to fulfill his potential as a starter in New Jersey.  He was signed by Mikhail Prokhorov to a five-year, $35 million contract, so his leash will be long.  He is capable of putting some crooked numbers in a box score, particularly in the difficult blocks, steals and 3-point categories.  He’s had a ho-hum preseason, but don’t be lulled to sleep by that. Despite his length of time in the league, Outlaw is just 26 and could turn out to be a nice gift for someone in the later rounds.  The rest of the roster is filled with non-draftable guys and that includes lottery pick Derrick Favors.  The Georgia Tech product could see some extra work in the early going as Murphy continues to rehab his back, but he is a long way from being ready to contribute to anyone’s fantasy team.  I can see new backup point guard Jordan Farmer being relevant following one of Harris’ injuries.  Also half Jewish, Farmar will be relied upon by that vaunted marketing machine.  Stay away unless you’re a season ticket holder looking for a good time.

PG: Devin Harris, Jordan Farmar
SG: Anthony Morrow, Terrence Williams
SF: Travis Outlaw, Stephen Graham
PF: Troy Murphy, Derrick Favors
C: Brook Lopez, Johan Petro

Up Next: Houston Rockets

Daily Lies & Statistics: Day-to-Day

The diagnosis is negative! Rejoice! It turns out that Paul Pierce’s foot is NOT broken, just sprained. He has been updated from headache to day-to-day. Right now it seems that a return to action this weekend is likely. And boy do the Celtics need him. They have been old awful of late, losing four of their last five. Even the young guys like Kendrick Perkins are struggling. Perk hasn’t hit the double-digit scoring mark in any of his team’s last eight games. In fact, the Celtics in their last 10 are 22nd in the league in offensive efficiency and

Hear me now! Life's a trip when you're day-to-day. As da' clock keep tickin' away.

24th in points per game. They’re also 29th in rebounds per, with the New Jersey Nets (holla!) sitting just behind them. So, day-to-day doesn’t sound so bad now, does it?

There were plenty of good, bad, ugly and indifferent lines on Tuesday night. Let’s see if you can tell which are which!

Kevin Durant has kept his streak of scoring at least 25 points alive. It is now sitting at 22 games. He dropped 33 points and 11 rebounds on the Hawks. Ladies and gentlemen, your second best player in fantasy basketball.

Vince Carter (remember him?) is back from vacation. He took time off from checking his voicemail to play in a good ol’ basketball game last night. And boy did he play. After finishing the month of January with 8.7 points, 0.8 threes, and a 28.4 FG%, it was nice to see him hit 7-of-15 shots and sink two 3-pointers on his way to scoring 17 points and pulling down 11 rebounds. Rejoice! The last time Carter played this well was on Dec. 30 against… the Bucks. Wait, he can play against the Bucks 82 games per year? No? Oh well.

Jameer Nelson (knee) and Mickael Pietrus (ankle) both sat out against said Bucks. Both were considered questionable heading into this one, with Nelson actually indicating that he’d likely play. But, neither ended up getting any PT. Still, Jason Williams continues to make it seem like anything is possible. Can you believe he’s the only “Ja(y)son Williams” who is not wearing a suit right now on a regular basis (whether it be for a job at ESPN or court dates).

You asked for Devin Harris and you got him. In a big way! After missing four straight games (15 on the season) the biggest underachiever on the biggest underachieving team (in the history of the game) posted only his second double-double of the season — 24 points on 7-of-14 shooting, 10-of-11 free throws, and 14 assists in 40 minutes. Peek-a-boo! There’s my boy. No more of this 37% shooting BS, okay? What you liked about this performance was the quickness he showed, the endurance, and the report he had with Brook Lopez (27 points on 11-of-16 shooting). If these two guys played this well together all season long the Nets would have at least 7, maybe 8 wins. Six of Harris’ assists were at the rim, which is a good sign for Lopez owners. Get yours, Harris, but make sure to keep Lopez in the loop.

Ben Wallace made a little history with his single block last night against the Nets. He became the first player under 6’10” to compile 2,000 blocks in his career. What a feat. In case you’re wondering, Earl Boykins has 29 career blocks (including one, if I recall, on Melo… is that right?).

Zach Randolph would like to use a free pass for his 8-point, 4-rebound performance against the Cavs. Listen, if you own Randolph you know he has about 15 more of those saved up in his back pocket. The dude has been unbelievable this season. You can chalk this one up to the fact that the Grizzlies had played four games in the last five nights and were playing in the second night of a back-to-back set in which they beat the Lakers in an emotional game and then had to take on the Cavaliers. Not easy.

Corey Maggette (hip) sat against the Rockets. This gave (gulp) Coby Karl a chance to show us what he’s capable of — 12 points, 7 assists, 7 rebounds and a steal in 37 minutes. You’ll never see a line like that again out of Karl. Unless he’s playing against his dad’s team and his pops calls for the defense to play a five-dudes-follow-Monta-Ellis defensive set, leaving Karl free to roam.

Hedo Turkoglu (busted up face) didn’t play against the Pacers. He’s considering wearing a mask to protect his pretty face. I’m not sure this is true, but isn’t that how Batman got into doing what he does? (And I’m not talking about saving Gotham, I’m talking about dominatrix. Google it.)

Andrea Bargnani and Chris Bosh combined to score 69 points against the Pacers. Bosh had 35 and Bargnani had…. let me see…. carry the one… add two…. buckled my shoe…. 34 points! These guys need a nickname. Almost three years ago to the day, when I was writing a fantasy hoops column on NBA.com I had come up with, for no real reason, the idea to call Bosh and Bargnani the “Righteous Brothers.” Really, I have no idea why. It was just the first thing that came to mind. Nevertheless, Raptors fans KILLED me on one of their message boards. You would have thought I called them “Captain and Tennille.”

Dudes were pissed! What’s really wrong with the Righteous Brothers anyway?

Well, that’s the big news of the evening.

Wednesday night’s action is in for a treat — as are you. For it’s THE RETURN OF… LOST!! I mean… GREG FOX! Back from reconstructive shoulder surgery (in which he can now throw a baseball 100 mph, a-la Rookie of the Year.) Enjoy.

Daily Lies & Statistics: Happy Yi Mitzvah

Heading into last night’s contest in San Antonio, I thought there was a decent chance that the Nets wouldn’t outscore either the Packers or Arizona Cardinals. New Jersey enters the week with a ledger of 3-34 and is on pace to surpass the 1972-73 Philadelphia 76ers’ mark for futility when they went 9-73.

I kinda get the 76er thing. Dale Schlueter and Dennis Awtrey were playing significant minutes for god’s sake. But the Nets? They have Brook Lopez, Devin Harris, Chairman Yi and a host of other talented lottery picks, yet are destined for the worst season of any professional sports franchise in history.

Dennis Awtrey Night at the Meadowlands isn't too far off.

As a man who has seen this team live twice this season, let me impart some sophisticated basketball knowledge to those who struggle to understand the nuances of the sport – they suck!! To be fair, they only struggle in two areas – offense and defense. The biggest culprit on both ends of the floor is Harris. He did battle a groin injury through the first month, but now relatively healthy (though he did miss last night’s game with a sore wrist), I can’t believe this is the same player I thought the Nets stole from Dallas in the Jason Kidd deal.

Offensively, he makes terrible decisions with the ball, is a turnover waiting to happen and his jump shot has been placed on waivers. On the defensive end, I’m being kind by calling him a turnstile. He literally just stands there and as his man is whipping by him, makes the obligatory reach in to try to come up with a miraculous steal. It really is painful to watch. This was my second round pick in the Damn Lies League by the way. Do I sound bitter?

Most annoying at Net home games is their marketing machine that leads the world in drumming up fake enthusiasm through a host of cheap tactics, like having a DJ scream into a mic during cheesy timeout promotions and halftime shows. Stick to what works such as offering season ticket holders the opportunity for the Net of your choice to appear at your son or daughter’s Bar or Bat Mitzvah. I’m paying big bucks for a shot of Yi in a satin yarmulkah.

On to the dudes:

Chris Bosh: In two games over the weekend, Bosh averaged 30.0 points, 11.0 rebounds, 5.0 assists, 1.5 steals, 1.0 blocks, shot 60 percent from the field and 88 percent from the line. That is some serious work. I whined to Jeff last night that if I took Kobe over Amare Stoudemire I probably would have ended up with Bosh in the second round. Those ended up being Jeff’s first two picks, by the way.

Courtney Lee: One of the Nets’ young guns, Lee registered 28 points, 6 assists and knocked down 5 threes Friday night at New Orleans. He followed that with a 4-point, 5-assist smellarama at the Alamodome last night. Inconsistency and poor health have marred his season, but he is playing big minutes (37 each of the last two) and is worth a stab if you’re looking for multi-category help.

Kenyon Martin: The man medical journals were named after enjoyed a scintillating week in the absence of Carmelo Anthony. In four games, he produced 20.8 points, 11.0 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 1.8 steals, 1.3 blocks and was 36-for-68 from the floor. Congrats if he was in your lineup, but an ingrown toenail is looming.

Tyreke Evans: Will ‘reke just stop the insanity? I mean come on already. He followed a 25-point, 6-assist night on Friday in Golden State with a 27-spot and 4 assists Saturday versus Denver. The knock on Evans coming out of Memphis was that he couldn’t shoot straight. Well, he is averaging 20.7 points and shooting 46 percent from the floor and 79 percent from the stripe, terrific percentages for a perimeter player. How the return of Kevin Martin will affect him we don’t know, but it must be fun as anything to own him thus far.

O.J. Mayo: Orange Juice Mayonnaise has picked it up of late, averaging 21.4 points, 3.0 threes and 1.4 steals over his last five. Even without Allen Iverson, the Grizz have a host of options so expect inconsistency from the talented second-year man.

Troy Murphy: Murph and tag team partner Danny Granger both returned to action on Friday after long layoffs. Murphy picked up where he left off with, averaging 18.0 points, 10.0 rebounds and 3.0 steals in two games,w hile he also knocked down 6-of-8 from beyond the arc. There aren’t many 10+rebounders who hit threes and block a few shots, so Murphy is that rare commodity. Granger averaged 22.0 points and 6.0 boards in his two contests, but totaled 40 shot attempts to accomplish it.

Jon Brockman: This woolly mammoth moved into the Kings starting lineup Saturday, and although he only notched 5 points, he did corral 12 boards in 38 minutes of work. I’m not saying to pounce on him, but the rookie plays like a 10-year vet and could hang on to the job for a while. He could be a great cheap source of rebounds while adding close to a block a game.

Carl Landry: I’m jumping on the Andriesse bandwagon with this one. After watching him a few times over the past two weeks, there cannot be a tougher and more physical player in the NBA than Landry. This is the type of guy a team wins with and also the type of animal no one wants to go up against. In 26.9 minutes off the bench, he is averaging 16.8 points, 5.7 rebounds, and is shooting 57 percent from the floor and 86 percent from the line. Scoop him up if he’s somehow available or target him in a trade if you play in a percentages league.

There are nine games scheduled in an unusually busy Monday night. Hawks at Celtics should be a good one.

Daily Lies & Statistics: (T-)Mac the Knife

Tracy McGrady played last night for the first time since February 8, 2009. I remember the game like it happened just yesterday. T-Mac played 25 minutes and shot 11.1 percent from the floor. Or wait, was that Nov. 11, 2008, against the Lakers. No, he went 1-for-11 that night. Yeah, last season was pretty sweet for Mr. McGrady. He shot 38.3 percent from the floor, missed 47 games over the span of the year — injured six times. Some things you just refuse to forget.

"It's 'passed' away, not 'past' away"

So, McGrady made his debut playing eight minutes (all in the 1st quarter), spending most of the time hovering around the three-point line. He made just 1-of-3 field-goal attempts (a three-pointer) and looked about as sluggish and lazy as I remember. If you care to know, I have little faith in T-Mac. In fact, don’t own him in any of the dozen leagues I’m in. His name happens to be more valuable than his game, so at the very least you can pick him up and trade him. He’s one of the leaders in All-Star voting and has only played EIGHT MINUTES. Somebody out there loves McGrady. Just know that I’m not one of them.

Trevor Ariza missed last night’s game (suspension, punch), giving Chase Budinger a chance to play to log 40 minutes for the first time in his young career. He posted 14 points and a career-high 12 rebounds. Budinger should revert back to the 15-18 minute range once Ariza returns. You also have to love the fact that Aaron Brooks shot 10-of-20 from the floor. Just two nights after shooting 6-of-20. The one concern you have about Brooks is that he’s only made three of his last 18 three-point attempts. The other thing working against Brooks (and the rest of the Rockets) is the return of Tracy McGrady. I may be crazy, but I think that T-Mac may be the worst thing to happen to this team — especially given how well they’ve played early on. Anyone?

The other story of the night was the 42-point performance by Kobe Braynt. He started hot, scoring 20 points in the first ten minutes. The Bulls, on the other hand, were anything but hot. They were… not? They shot 38.5 percent from the floor — John Salmons (1-of-5), Derrick Rose (9-of-22), and Joakim Noah (4-of-16) were the main culprits. For the third time in four games, the Bulls failed to score 90 points. I wonder when the Vinny Del Negro ‘watch’ will come to an end anytime soon…Lawrence Frank anyone?

Other performances of note:

Tim Duncan: scored a season-high 34 points and pulled down 14 rebounds in a loss to the Suns. Nice to see a 30 and 10, as he’s playing a career-low 32 minutes per game on the season. You may not see another one in quite a while.

Roger Mason: Hit 5 treys last night on his way to scoring 19 points. Remember when we saw this Mason on a regular basis last season. Don’t expect him to return often this season.

Jerryd Bayless: Scored 14 points AND finished the closely contested game while Andre Miller sat glued to the bench. At this point, neither are reliable in standard leagues. Bayless has a nice future, but he’s not ready to contribute on a regular basis.

Rafer Alston: Skip scored 20 points, draining 4 treys in 18 minutes. Both Keyon Dooling and Chris Douglas-Roberts missed this one, opening up more minutes and more touches — also, Courtney Lee couldn’t buy a bucket (8 points on 3-of-14 shooting).

Jared Jeffries: Traaaaaiiiid Baaaaiiiiit! Jeffries had 6 steals, 11 points, 5 rebounds and 2 blocks. The Knicks are loving his performance, but fantasy owners need not get too excited.

Chris Duhon: …on the other hand, here is a guy worth adding. Duhon continues to raise his dreaded FG%. His play has been pretty stellar — 18 points, 6 assists, 3 treys and a steal. I would add Duhon if he’s available in your league and ride him out. Then I would look to trade him as his value rises. Remember, Duhon burned out last season after the All-Star break. With D’Antoni playing just 7 or 8 guys, I fear that Duhon can’t keep the pace all season long. I also fear that I am iron deficient.

Raymond Felton: Add this dude. Like Duhon, Felton has been playing great ball of late. He added 4 more steals last night. That’s 15 over his last four. He’s also scored 14 or more points in four of his last five and dished 5.3 assists. He’s feelin’ it.

Jarrett Jack: What a dick. Six points, one assist and 5 turnovers in 32 minutes. Wasn’t he supposed to treat us well while we waited for Jose Calderon to return? I’m still starting him. He can’t get rid of me that easily.

Carlos Arroyo: He started in place of Mario Chalmers and scored 12 points and dished 3 dimes in 20 minutes. The news here is that Chalmers has been sent to the bench. He still has more value than Arroyo, but things aren’t looking good for the second-year point.

Richard Hamilton: He’s back for sure. 21 points last night (without Gordon and Bynum in the lineup). You can safely get him back in your lineup. Hey that’s great news.

*12 games on Wednesday night.

Sit: Ryan Gomes, Calderon, Douglas-Roberts, and T-Mac.

Check the status of Ben Gordon and Will Bynum.

Watch: Elton Brand, Allen Iverson and Jrue Holiday in Philly. Who gets what minutes?

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