Tag Archives: D.J. Augustin

RotoExperts Draft Kit: Top 25 Point Guards

"That's where I'm going to jump. Just throw it to me."

From the RotoExperts 2011-12 NBA Draft Kit

These rankings were written on Dec. 15 and published a day later. If written today I would jump Kyrie Irving into the fourth tier, have Jarrett Jack in the sixth tier (since the Hornets haven’t procured another point guard), drop Toney Douglas a few spots (thanks to Baron Davis signing in New York) and take D.J. Augustin down a few notches in fear of a Kemba Walker coup d’etat. 

In the midst of a wild NBA offseason and uncertainty as far as the eye can see, Fantasy owners need the steady hand of a point guard to guide their team. The best NBA point guards are also some of the best Fantasy players, and no championship team is complete without at least a few of the top options on this list. The top Fantasy point guards anchor your team in assists and are often positive contributors in several other categories.

The following rankings are based on a nine-category, head-to-head league format (PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3FG, FG%, FT%, TO), using Yahoo!’s positional eligibility. We break down players into tiers as well to help you organize them within your overall cheat sheets. Finally: this is a list of true point guards expected to play the majority of their minutes at this position this season. There are several combo guards, such as Dwyane Wade, who are eligible at point guard in some leagues but ranked on the shooting guard list for our purposes.In tumultuous times like these, it is best to write your own cheat sheets in pencil and be prepared to move things around as needed based on roles changing and injuries sprouting up. The Chris Paul trade is a great example of this. Luckily, CP3 doesn’t move much as he’s the top Fantasy point guard in the game.

These rankings take into account not just stat projections, but injury risk, competition for minutes and other intangibles.

ROTOEXPERTS.COM POINT GUARD RANKINGS

TIER 1

1. Chris Paul, LAC

Projected Stats: 17.8 PPG,  4.1 RPG, 10.9 APG, 1.0 3FG, 2.3 SPG, 0.1 BPG, 2.7 TO, 46.9 FG%, 85.5 FT%

Paul has finally been traded, and visions of CP3 setting up Blake Griffin for breathtaking alley-oops are dancing in the heads of everyone who is now claiming they’ve been a diehard Clippers fan all along. Paul should be thrilled to land in this spot where he has a pair of top-notch finishers underneath in Griffin and DeAndre Jordan, and talent at other positions as well. In all the drama over where he was going to get traded, it’s easy to forget that he carries with him some risk due to his questionable knees. If he plays a full season at close to 100 percent, Paul is the top point guard and easy No. 3 pick in all formats. Continue reading

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Fantasy & Free Agent Fest: Southeast Division

In the days leading up to the start of free agency on Dec. 9, Damn Lies & Statistics will be taking a look at each team’s potential moves, top fantasy players and more. Jeff tackles the Southeast Division.

ATLANTA HAWKS
Fantasy-Worthy Players Under Contract (H2H Draft Round in Parentheses): F/C Al Horford (2/3), F Josh Smith (2/3), G Joe Johnson (4/5), G Jeff Teague (10/11), F Marvin Williams (13/14)
Key Unrestricted Free Agents: G Jamal Crawford
Key Restricted Free Agents: None
What to Look For: Is this the most boring team in the league or what? Smith was shopped at the draft and could conceivably be moved before the season. As a H2H shot-blocking forward, he still has a ton of value. Horford is a nice pick for those who don’t like to gamble. He’s simply as solid as they come. Johnson, however, has the kind of contract future lockouts are made of. He’ll be serviceable in fantasy and perhaps even a tick better than last year with Crawford likely to sign elsewhere. Hinrich is still around to hold back Jeff Teague, but Teague seems poised to be the starting point guard. It makes the most sense, as he injects needed energy into this yawn of a unit.
The Damn Lies Bold Recipe: Atlanta seems ready to declare Josh Smith “available”, and it is certainly worth seeing what they can get for him. A true center who allows them to play Horford at power forward would be nice, and Smith could snatch someone like, say, Andrew Bynum or Brook Lopez as part of a multi-team deal. The Hawks should certainly stay active regarding one of their top assets. Continue reading


Fox Unbalanced: A Cacophony of Cockamamy Claptrap

Wes Craven's Scream was originally based on a screenplay about Greg Fox checking box scores.

Just when I thought I had this fantasy basketball thing all figured out, I’m thrown for another Froot Loop on Wednesday night. I hate starting these pieces by whining about my own team, but how can I not as the Unhappy Hairstons continue to get injured like its their job? A lot of this could have been avoided. I’ve had this awkward infatuation with Roy Hibbert since he left Georgetown for the bright lights of Indianapolis.  I so desperately wanted him this year and he was staring me in the face in the sixth round. So what did I do? I took Mo Williams, that’s what! Mo’s 2010-11 campaign has thus far been nothing short of a Wes Craven film. Tonight, he strained his groin, no doubt while lunging to strangle Byron Scott who benched him in the fourth quarter of Tuesday night’s win in New Jersey, and will probably have to wear a truss for the remainder of the season. Meanwhile, Hibbert and his 15.8 points, 9.3 rebounds, 3.8 assists and 3.3 blocks are the perfect reward for my jangled nerves.

As Tom and Jeff have said repeatedly, it is still early and ground can be made up. It is in my nature to panic, as my fingernails can attest. It’s in my genes. My father panicked, his father panicked and his father before him was a noted ‘fraidy cat’ in the old country, so what chance did I have, really?

All I can do at this point is help you, my loyal readers, by looking at a few guys to target as well as a few to thank for their contributions before bidding adieu. Continue reading


Damn Lies Fantasy Preview: Charlotte Bobcats

I’d like to sit here and tell you that this year’s version of the Charlotte Bobcats will pick up where they left off and catapult themselves into the upper echelon of the Eastern Conference. I’d like to tell you that the team that last year added Stephen Jackson and won 16 of its final 23 regular season games to claim the seventh seed will be a more cohesive unit with that experience under its belt. I’d like to tell you that there are no glaring holes on this roster. I’d also like to tell you that Basil Marceaux will claim the Governor’s seat in Tennessee, but ain’t none of this gonna happen.

 

"And then I sliced it into the sand trap..."

 

LIES
Over the years, the reviews on Jackson are as mixed as a Whitman’s Sampler. He seems like an absolute nightmare to play with, and after a few months of blending in, I’m sure he’ll be ready to anoint himself team leader as he did in Golden State and Indiana. From a fantasy perspective, Captain Jack is often terrific across the board, particularly if your league doesn’t count field goal percentage and anti-social behavior. His running mate and clearly the best player on this squad, Gerald Wallace, is poised for another big season barring injury. Crash averaged 18.2 points, 10.0 rebounds, 1.5 steals and 1.1 blocks last year and that makes absolutely no sense since I can’t remember the last time he accumulated less than 17 rebounds in a game. Grab Wallace long before your mind wanders in Jackson’s direction.

DAMN LIES
With Ray Felton now studying Talmud with Amar’e Stoudemire in The Big Apple, the ‘cats have an intriguing situation brewing at point guard, where D.J. Augustin is the incumbent. Newly acquired Shaun Livingston finally appears semi-healthy after enjoying a solid final month in ’09-10 with Washington, and will battle Augustin for the starting spot in camp. Should Augustin not live up to Larry Brown’s lofty point guard standards, Livingston could parlay that good health into serious daylight. Despite Mussolini’s penchant for destroying the wills of his lead guards, it should be Augustin’s job to lose in the preseason and he could prove to be a nice source of assists, threes and steals. His field goal percentage last year (.386) might scare off fellow owners, but I like him as a high upside pick in the 8th or 9th round.

STATISTICS
You can thank the Charlotte frontcourt for that odor coming from your computer screen as Boris Diaw (11.3, 5.2, 4.0) is set at power forward and a combination of Nazr Mohammed, DeSagana Diop and Kwame Brown (yes, that Kwame Brown!) will man the middle. I know we’ve said this before, but fifth-year tease Tyrus Thomas has a chance to put up some stupid numbers. I know, I know: for every 12-point, 14-rebound, 6-block, 4-steal game, there are 15 clunkers. But the Bobcats will struggle mightily unless Brown decides to go small and use their athleticism by inserting Thomas at center. I’m hopping on Thomas in the middle rounds, though I’m sure I’ll be regretting it by Election Day.

DEPTH CHART
PG – D.J. Augustin, Shaun Livingston
SG – Stephen Jackson, Gerald Henderson
SF – Gerald Wallace, Dominic McGuire
PF – Boris Diaw, Tyrus Thomas
C – Nazr Mohammed, DeSagana Diop

Up Next: New Orleans Hornets

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The Damn Lies Panel: Injury replacements

THURSDAY’S QUESTION: Amongst NBA reserves, who are your three favorite injury replacements who could end up returning major fantasy value?

Tom Lorenzo:
One of my favorite reserves this season is Randy Foye. He’s obviously blocked by the great Gilbert Arenas, but as we know Agent Zero has close to a five-percent chance of playing 82 games this season. That makes a guy like Foye much more attractive. He’s a 6th-round talent who can be had in the 11th round. Considering that Agent Five-Percent should see some time in street clothes, Foye can be a major fantasy producer at any moment this season — points, steals, assists, threes, and FT%. It seems imperative, if you’re a Gilbert Arenas owner, to handcuff the position by drafting Foye. You don’t want to be that Carlos Boozer owner who slept on Paul Millsap, do you? DO YOU?!

Andray BlatcheBlatche to the future! Foye’s teammate Andray Blatche is already stepping in with Antawn Jamison out nursing a shoulder injury. Blatche has responded with 11.3 points, 7.0 rebounds, 1.0 steals, 0.7 blocks, a 46.9 FG% and an 82.6 FT%. Of course the Wizards expect Jamison to return by opening night, but Blatche is not messing around. I wouldn’t sleep on him, since all it will take is for Jamison to re-injure himself (quite possible) before we see Blatche back on the court and well on his way to posting big fantasy numbers.

DeAndre Jordan is a beast. I’m sure he won’t get much playing time since it would require Marcus Camby and/or Chris Kaman to go down with an injury. Sigh. Too bad that’s not likely to happen… Look out! Not getting any sarcasm past anyone today, am I? Camby is already out with an ankle injury and Kaman is one look in the mirror away from missing 6-8 weeks. Jordan is a high-upside big who can block shots, rebound and shoot a high percentage from the field. It’s only a matter of time, really. I have batteries in my freezer that have a better chance of working than Kaman and Camby do of staying healthy.

Jeff Andriesse:
Fantasy owners often look to security blanket Jarrett Jack in the late rounds when their timer’s running out, their hands are shaking and the previous six picks were all queued up. Jack is going to be my binky this year if I can get him, as he’s annually good for a stretch of basketball heroics that will, statistically at least, make you think Oscar Robertson has reversed the aging process and re-entered the league. For whatever reason, we restart the next season and Jack is a lowly backup again, this time in Toronto. Not a bad place for him, especially if Jose Calderon gets dinged up like he did last year. Also, the Raptors have some shaky two-guards, so I foresee Jack getting enough court time to be a spot starter. If Calderon gets hurt, Oscar is back.

From all accounts this preseason, Marquis Daniels has fit in swimmingly with the Celtics and is even going to play some point guard on the second unit. Fantasy owners got a glimpse of Daniels’ ability last year when he averaged around 15 points, five boards and over a steal a game as a starter due to injuries on the Pacers. Daniels’ new role as a point forward makes him a tremendous backup for not just aging vets Paul Pierce and Ray Allen, but Rajon Rondo as well. It’s looking like an injury to any of those three will thrust Daniels back into fantasy relevance.

Ronny Turiaf seems like one of those centers who averages six blocks a game when he sees 10-15 minutes of court time, yet when he starts and plays 30, he can’t swat a thing. Indeed, the dude blocked 2.3 shots as a reserve in 19 minutes/game and 1.8 as a starter in 27 minutes/game. Maybe he wasn’t so concerned with fouling when he was coming off the bench, but regardless Turiaf is an excellent source of blocks who will get a few rebounds, shoot over 50 percent from the field and hit around 80 percent of his free throws. The obvious handcuffs are to Andris Biedrins and the already-banged-up Anthony Randolph, but with Don Nelson calling the substitutions all bets are basically off. We could see Acie Law at center this year. So you’ve been warned. Still, you have to consider Turiaf, especially if you draft Biedrins.

Greg Fox:
With so many reserves from which to choose, I’ve consulted Vito Corleone who was kind enough to render my selections. “I’m a superstitious man, and if some unlucky accident should befall Dwight Howard, if Ray Felton should get shot in the head by a police officer, or if Kenyon Martin should hang himself in his jail cell, or if Nene is struck by a bolt of lightning, then I’m going to blame some of the people in this room. And that, I do not forgive. But that aside, let me say that I swear on the souls of my grandchildren, that I will not be the one to break the peace that we have made here today.”

My Godfather has spoken and spoken volumes. Marcin Gortat would be the main beneficiary of a Howard injury. When it comes to Gortat, as we saw glimpses of in the ’08-09 playoffs, we’re talking about a hard-nosed and skilled big man, capable of points, boards, blocks and a solid field goal percentage. Howard seems indestructible, but his owners would be well served to use a late pick on the 6-11 Pole.

With Raja Bell about to possibly undergo season-ending surgery, DJ Augustin could find himself playing alongside Felton more than he thought. If Felton were to ever go down, we could have a top 10 point guard on our hands. In primarily a reserve role last year, Augustin recorded 11.8 points, 3.5 assists, shot 44 percent from 3-point range and 89 percent from the line. Injury factors aside, this could be Felton’s final year with the Bobcats. Since they are going to be mediocre at best, expect Augustin’s minutes to rise as the season wears on.

Chris AndersenChris Andersen can help his owners dominate the toughest category of them all, blocked shots. In just over 20 minutes per contest last season, the tattooed one denied 2.5 shots per night, easily the highest rate per minute in the league. He is playing behind Nene and Kenyon Martin, two fellas who won’t be challenging A.C. Green’s ironman streak any time soon. The Birdman is a must-target in the middle rounds.


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