Tag Archives: Channing Frye

Start, Drop & Roll: Week 3 Advice

How could you not love this guy?

We’re nearly two weeks into the regular season and I don’t think anyone participating in fantasy basketball has any idea what’s going on. How could the NBA think that 66 games over 125 days could possibly work? It seems as if every player is either hurt, out for no apparent reason, or simply dreadful.

Personally, I ended Week 1 in last place in the Damn Lies League, a mere 50 points out of first. I walked around my house in a stupor on Sunday evening, a la Robert the Bruce at the Scottish gravesite after betraying William Wallace. Week 2 has been much better thanks to the return of a two-legged Andrew Bynum, but as a Dorell Wright owner, I’m still teetering on the brink of driving to the Bay area and giving him a massive Indian burn.

But this column, which I will commit to on a weekly basis, is not about me and my incessant whining. It’s about you, our coveted Damn Lies readers, and your need for some good ol’ fashion advice on whom to start, sit and pick up for the coming week. Let’s get down to business. Continue reading

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RotoExperts Draft Kit: Top 25 Power Forwards

Who's more slimmed down this year?

From the RotoExperts 2011-12 NBA Draft Kit

The following rankings are based on a nine-category, head-to-head league format (PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3FG, FG%, FT%, TO). We break down players into tiers as well to help you organize them within your overall cheat sheets. These rankings take into account not just stat projections, but injury risk, competition for minutes and other intangibles.

ROTOEXPERTS.COM POWER FORWARD RANKINGS

TIER 1

1. Kevin Love, MIN

Projected Stats: 20.9 PPG, 15.3 RPG, 2.6 APG, 1.2 3FG, 0.7 SPG, 0.5 BPG, 2.0 TO, 46.7 FG%, 85.2 FT%

Yes, believe it or not, Love is the top power forward in the NBA. Not only will he most likely lead the league in rebounding, but he’ll score north of 20 points per game, hit over one 3-pointer and make 85 percent of his free throws. You’d like to see him put up better numbers on the defensive side of the ball, but if he were a big-time defender we’d be talking about him as the No. 1 overall pick, not just the top power forward. Continue reading


Fantasy & Free Agent Fest: Pacific Division

In the days leading up to the start of free agency on Dec. 9, Damn Lies & Statistics will be taking a look at each team’s potential moves, top fantasy players and more. In the final installment, Greg Fox examines the Pacific Division.

GOLDEN STATE
Fantasy-Worthy Players Under Contract (H2H Draft Round in Parentheses): G Stephen Curry (1/2), G Monta Ellis (2), F Dorell Wright (4), F/C David Lee (4)
Key Unrestricted Free Agents: F Al Thornton
Key Restricted Free Agents: G Reggie Williams
What to Look For: The Warriors remain the most exciting group of fantasy players since the salad days of the Pittsburgh Pisces. New head coach Mark Jackson is already preaching defense, but those who remember the 6-3 turnstile can’t take that too seriously. What Jackson was was a terrific lead guard, who controlled the flow of a game and made everyone around him better. If his wisdom can rub off on Stephen Curry, then the third-year point guard will deliver first-round value. Hell, I felt he was brutal last year, and he still finished as a borderline first-rounder. His backcourt mate, Monta Ellis, if he can stay out of the emergency room following his nightly 48-minute high-wire acts, can also return silly dividends. Always a big-time scorer with strong percentages, Ellis has added a 3-point shot to his repertoire in recent years. Small forward Dorell Wright was arguably fantasy’s MVP last season, coming out of nowhere to produce terrific across-the-board numbers. Don’t go spending a third-round pick on the guy as he is bound to disappoint this time around, but keep him on the radar in the fourth or fifth round. As for disappointments, Warrior big men David Lee and Andris Biedrins impaled their owners a year ago. Lee was a second-round choice for many, but a Wilson Chandler incisor to Lee’s forearm contributed to his derailment and he should bounce back nicely in 2011-12. Biedrins may have to look for work elsewhere as Golden State brass seems to be tiring of his Claude Rains impression. Keep a close eye on power forward Ekpe Udoh, who could steal some minutes in the middle and provide decent rebounds and blocks.
The Damn Lies Bold Recipe: Nothing against Biedrins, but it is not going to work for him in the Bay area. The unfortunate thing is that the Warriors are stuck as they would have to sell him at 10 cents on the dollar and they may be better off using the amnesty clause on him. This team is in need of some hard-nosed players, willing to take a charge, as well as a big man who can change some shots. Tyson Chandler comes to mind, but the Warriors can’t afford him. DeAndre Jordan, Tayshaun Prince, Carl Landry, Chuck Hayes and Luch Richard Mbah a Moute all seem to fit this team’s needs. Time to take the plunge. Continue reading


I’ll Be Damned: Damned if You Do…

Serge Ibaka is third in the league in blockahs.

Each week in this space, I like to take the time to marvel at the oddities that abound in the fantasy basketball universe. What’s more important than pure wonder, however, is useful knowledge. We can’t act so surprised that we turn to stone. This week I’m going to take a look at players off to surprising starts, and offer verdicts on whether or not they are destined to be this good all year.

When considering trading players, a lot of people get caught up in what someone has done in the recent past as opposed to the near future and beyond. Remember, you don’t ever get someone’s current stats in a deal.

I’m damned about the following players vastly out-performing their draft spot. It’s a worthy buy-low or sell-high exercise to do this regularly with any players who seem to be trending well below or above their norms. If the player seems to be here to stay and worth hanging on to, I’ll exclaim “Damn!” about how good they’ve become. If I feel you’d be better off moving one of these guys before it’s too late, or if you might be stuck with them, I’ll simply label them “Damned”. We good? If you have any questions, please wait until after the presentation. Continue reading


Damn Lies Fantasy Preview: Phoenix Suns

Yes, Suns fans, the post-Amar’e Stoudemire era is finally upon us. The big fella has taken his game to a bigger market. And now we’re left wondering what effect his absence will have on the team, especially on Steve Nash. The two-time MVP is heading into his 12th season, but his first without Stoudemire in the middle. So what does this mean for Nash? Will his assists go down? Will his scoring go up, and if it does will that mean he won’t shoot 50% from the floor? We do know that he will rack up the assists, hit threes, hit his free throws, and run when he can. At this point I would have to say that Nash is probably a mid- to late-2nd rounder. He’s the perfect complimentary player for many of the highly efficient bigs who could use the Canadian bump in small-ball stats.

 

To Toronto: "Peace, I'm outta here!" Love: Hedo

 

LIES
Hedo Turkoglu joined the Suns this summer after a disastrous season in Toronto. He scored just 11.3 points on 41% shooting, 1.5 threes, 77% from the line, 4.6 rebounds, 4.1 assists, 0.7 steals, and 0.4 blocks. Throughout the entire season Turk admitted that he was lost in the offense. We know he’s a guy who plays better on the ball, but what’s going to happen now when he’s playing along one of the great playmakers in the game? Turkoglu will be better this season than last. You can almost count on it. But even heading into last season I had my reservations about Turk. He doesn’t shoot the ball well (42.7% FG on his career) and isn’t that efficient of a FT shooter (79% career). His defense is lacking (0.8 steals, 0.4 blocks) and the fact that he essentially gave up on the ’09-10 season really doesn’t excite me. I would put Turk as a 6th round pick, if you’re looking to add him, but I don’t think I have it in me to use a mid-round draft pick on him.

DAMN LIES
We have a positional battle at center, between Robin Lopez and Channing Frye. Lopez is the defensive big, while Frye is the sharpshooter. Ugh. Couldn’t we just mash them together and make them one player? With the makeup of this team I have to think that Lopez will get more playing time. The Suns no longer have an inside presence in Stoudemire, so they have to add a defensive big somewhere. It’s not going to be Frye, that’s for sure. We do know that Frye can hit the three ball (2.1 per game last season), but his rebounds (5.3) and blocks (0.8) are pretty mediocre for a guy his size. On paper Lopez’s numbers don’t look so impressive, but you have to remember that he essentially didn’t come along until the second half of the season. He also played 7 fewer minutes per game than Frye did. I would take either after the 10th round, depending on what your team needs are at that moment.

STATISTICS
Jason Richardson should get more touches this season, thus increasing his scoring average. We know he can make the threes, but would love to see him grab more steals and improve on his free-throw shooting. I would take him either in the late-4th or early-5th round. His backup, Josh Childress, is a bit of a question mark. He played over seas the past two seasons, so we still don’t know how he’ll transition back into the NBA. I would probably take a 13th-round shot on him, but not sure I’d jump any sooner. Grant Hill is a year older, and thus we once again await as his knees slowly start to turn into dust. To be fair, he’s only missed one game over the past two seasons. To be fairer, he’s a better in-game player than he is a fantasy player. Hakim Warrick needs to play better defense for a guy with his length, but he should improve under this offense. Goran Dragic is a nice backup point guard who will get more minutes this season, and should become a nice fantasy sleeper. Jared Dudley is good for threes and steals, nothing more.

DEPTH CHART
PG: Steve Nash, Goran Dragic
SG: Jason Richardson, Josh Childress
SF: Grant Hill, Jared Dudley
PF: Hedo Turkoglu, Hakim Warrick
C: Robin Lopez, Channing Frye

Up Next: Dallas Mavericks

Full Schedule


10 NBA offseason fantasy winners

There’s been a ton of moves made this offseason, with many more to come. As of July 29, here’s my 10 players who have seen their fantasy value rise this summer:

1. Louis Williams, PHI – Now Philly’s starting point guard with Andre Miller in Portland, Williams will have to adjust to facing first units more often but he has a chance to shine. It remains to be seen if he can run a team consistently, but he might not have to with Andre Iguodala there to run the offense occasionally. Williams is a clear fantasy starter right now.

Louis Williams and Andre Iguodala

2. Amir Johnson, MIL – A perfect spot for Johnson (unless and until the Bucks add some depth like Hakim Warrick). With little to speak of up front at either the ‘3’ or ‘4’ positions, the athletic Johnson has a chance to earn valuable minutes and help fantasy teams with his shot blocking.

3. Carl Landry, HOU – The man typing this is an admitted Landry fan, and thus excited about Landry’s opportunity this year. With Yao Ming out, the Rockets have Luis Scola, unproven David Anderson, banger Chuck Hayes – and Landry. An energy guy who can play multiple positions, it would be foolish for Houston to not put this fellow on the court for at least 30 minutes per game. One of my sleepers.

4. Courtney Lee, NJN – For Lee’s title aspirations, his trade from Orlando to New Jersey was a disaster. For his fantasy value and the potential of his future earnings, this is cause for celebration. The starting SG position in New Jersey is Lee’s to lose, and the tough second-year player won’t do that.

5. Shawn Marion, DAL – Marion is on this list only because he was so bad last year. Marion needs a good point guard to thrive, and Jason Kidd is still good enough to get the most out of him. And with the lack of serious big men on Dallas’ roster after Dirk Nowitzki, Marion should log a ton of minutes at both forward positions. They will also look to him to really focus on defense, and fantasy owners would love to see his steals and blocks get back to previous levels. They can.

6. Jason Maxiell, DET – Maxiell is the forgotten man in Detroit after the major changes made by the Pistons. With Chris Wilcox and Charlie Villanueva in town, you might think Maxiell will still be relegated to bench duty. But Maxiell is – get this – better than both guys, at least defensively. And somebody has to play center. I like Maxiell to see a huge bump in minutes since he needs to just outperform the perpetually-underperforming Wilcox and Kwame Brown.

7. Zach Randolph, MEM – Randolph improved his stock dramatically with a move from a crowded Clippers frontcourt to a barren Grizzlies one. He’ll slot right in at PF, playing alongside Marc Gasol, and get back to his 20 and 10 ways (okay, maybe 18 and 9, but it will be nice to count on Randolph again won’t it? Did I really just type that?).

8. Luis Scola, HOU – Back to the Yao situation, which is really just unfortunate for all involved. That is, unless Rockets fans are pacified by Scola’s fantasy ownership percentage rising this year. He’s clearly one of the team’s top offensive options, but keep in mind that no matter how much he plays he is still basically a three-category guy: points, rebounds, FG%.

9. Channing Frye, PHO – All signs point to a big fantasy bump for Frye, who is limited statistically but nonetheless talented enough to be a nice backup fantasy center. He could indeed start in Phoenix, and will fight with Robin Lopez and Louis Amundson for the right to flank Amare Stoudemire. Phoenix’s ability to go small this year will be hurt by the loss of Matt Barnes and the knowledge that Grant Hill ain’t playing 82 games two years in a row. Frye will get run.

10. Darko Milicic, NYK – Chris Duhon owners already know: it doesn’t matter how much you suck, Mike D’Antoni can save you. Darko is in a great situation, but keep in mind that even he can screw this up royally. D’Antoni will continue to go small often with David Lee (probably) at center, but Milicic is at least an intriguing center going into the season because he can block shots, something the Knicks need desperately. If Darko plays, he will produce. (Wait, did I really just type that?)

Got any ’09-10 risers yourself? Drop ’em in the comments.


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