Tag Archives: Brandon Jennings

RotoExperts Draft Kit: Top 25 Point Guards

"That's where I'm going to jump. Just throw it to me."

From the RotoExperts 2011-12 NBA Draft Kit

These rankings were written on Dec. 15 and published a day later. If written today I would jump Kyrie Irving into the fourth tier, have Jarrett Jack in the sixth tier (since the Hornets haven’t procured another point guard), drop Toney Douglas a few spots (thanks to Baron Davis signing in New York) and take D.J. Augustin down a few notches in fear of a Kemba Walker coup d’etat. 

In the midst of a wild NBA offseason and uncertainty as far as the eye can see, Fantasy owners need the steady hand of a point guard to guide their team. The best NBA point guards are also some of the best Fantasy players, and no championship team is complete without at least a few of the top options on this list. The top Fantasy point guards anchor your team in assists and are often positive contributors in several other categories.

The following rankings are based on a nine-category, head-to-head league format (PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3FG, FG%, FT%, TO), using Yahoo!’s positional eligibility. We break down players into tiers as well to help you organize them within your overall cheat sheets. Finally: this is a list of true point guards expected to play the majority of their minutes at this position this season. There are several combo guards, such as Dwyane Wade, who are eligible at point guard in some leagues but ranked on the shooting guard list for our purposes.In tumultuous times like these, it is best to write your own cheat sheets in pencil and be prepared to move things around as needed based on roles changing and injuries sprouting up. The Chris Paul trade is a great example of this. Luckily, CP3 doesn’t move much as he’s the top Fantasy point guard in the game.

These rankings take into account not just stat projections, but injury risk, competition for minutes and other intangibles.

ROTOEXPERTS.COM POINT GUARD RANKINGS

TIER 1

1. Chris Paul, LAC

Projected Stats: 17.8 PPG,  4.1 RPG, 10.9 APG, 1.0 3FG, 2.3 SPG, 0.1 BPG, 2.7 TO, 46.9 FG%, 85.5 FT%

Paul has finally been traded, and visions of CP3 setting up Blake Griffin for breathtaking alley-oops are dancing in the heads of everyone who is now claiming they’ve been a diehard Clippers fan all along. Paul should be thrilled to land in this spot where he has a pair of top-notch finishers underneath in Griffin and DeAndre Jordan, and talent at other positions as well. In all the drama over where he was going to get traded, it’s easy to forget that he carries with him some risk due to his questionable knees. If he plays a full season at close to 100 percent, Paul is the top point guard and easy No. 3 pick in all formats. Continue reading

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Fantasy & Free Agent Fest: Central Division

In the days leading up to the start of free agency on Dec. 9, Damn Lies & Statistics will be taking a look at each team’s potential moves, top fantasy players and more. Here’s a look at the Central Division squads.

CHICAGO BULLS
Fantasy-Worthy Players Under Contract (H2H Draft Round in Parentheses): G Derrick Rose (1), C Joakim Noah (4), F Carlos Boozer (6/7), F Luol Deng (7)
Key Unrestricted Free Agents: None
Key Restricted Free Agents: None
What to Look For: Chicago is close, very close. They will try to add a shooting guard who can be an upgrade over Keith Bogans. Jason Richardson or Caron Butler are options. Boozer is a risky pick in fantasy as he just can’t stay on the court, so Taj Gibson is a necessary handcuff. Rose can make a case for the No. 4 pick in drafts. While his minutes might be more in check during a 66-game slate, he remains an unstoppable offensive player who is young and eager to win a championship, not to mention try like heck to get the No. 1 seed in the East over Miami.
The Damn Lies Bold Recipe: Richardson and Butler are decent but aging options who aren’t built for the kind of schedule we have coming up. They might be a little pricey. If the Bulls miss out on them or decide to go a cheaper route, they should make an offer for Golden State’s Reggie Williams – he’s restricted, but the Warriors might not have him in their plans. He could really stretch the floor and spot up to receive kickouts from Rose. Continue reading


2011-12 Damn Mock I: Fifth Round

The Damn Lies Mock Draft rolls along, and the fifth round certainly presents some challenges. We’re coming to the point of the draft where players with one or two glaring flaws are selected, such as Stephen Jackson or Brandon Jennings with their noxious field goal percentages. Or perhaps a Kevin Garnett with too many miles on him, or Andrea Bargnani, who refuses to rebound adequately for his size and position. It is starting to get interesting checking out each team, and it’s certainly only going to be tougher from here on out. We’re just getting started, though; keep checking back for more.

The rules: Jeff, Tom and Greg are taking four teams each in this 12-team league, which is a nine-category rotisserie league (FG%, FT%, PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, 3FG, TO) that will draft the following: 1 PG, 1 SG, 1 SF, 1 PF, 2 C, 1 F, 1 G, 2 U. We’ll be building each team ourselves based on this format. Hope you enjoy, and feel free to mock us in the Comments.

FIRST ROUND | SECOND ROUND | THIRD ROUND | FOURTH ROUND

DAMN MOCK I FIFTH ROUND

49. Team 1 (Greg) – David West – Team 1 is shaping up fine, and I think the right tactic is to grab best available and that would mean West goes off the board. Before injury prematurely ended his season, he was averaging 18.9 points, 7.5 rebounds, 0.9 blocks, 1.0 steals and was shooting 51 percent from the field and 81 percent from the line, third round stuff if I’ve ever seen it. Don’t lunch on him as he is one of the most consistent power forwards in the game. Continue reading


Damn Lies Midseason Report: Central Division

Call me lazy. Call me super lazy. But just don’t call me late for dinner. I happen to believe that no matter how hard I try, I won’t be able to do the intro to our awards any justice, which is why I am going to re-print Jeff’s intro from his Atlantic Division awards. Hey, deal with it.

Per Jeff..

We’re gonna mix it up a bit this week at Damn Lies. Now that the season is roughly halfway over (emphasis on ‘roughly’), we thought it would be fun to hand out grades to each player who has made an impact, positive or negative, on the fantasy landscape. Think of these as sort of the Golden Globes to our annual postseason awards, The Dammies, only with fewer scientology jokes. This isn’t very scientific, in the sense that the three of us were liberal arts majors and are much more comfortable making stuff up rather than postulating an actual theory, which I can rarely do without pulling a muscle. For each team, we’ll assign grades based on how players have lived up to fantasy expectations. If a guy has disappointed or has been hurt more than not, he could get a ‘D’ or ‘F’ even though his numbers aren’t totally awful. If someone went undrafted in every league but has come out of nowhere to offer solid value, he could get an ‘A’. Or not. It’s really up to us. Don’t think to much about it.

…Here now are my Central Division awards. Enjoy!

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Moving And Shaking: Hold the O.J.

Looks like someone got Greg PhotoShop for the holidays... or did they give him a wish?

It’s shocking just how many fantasy owners have already given up on O.J. Mayo. Has he really been that bad? Well, yeah, sure he’s been downright awful. But to be fair, he’s getting downright better. After going four straight without hitting double figures in the scoring category he’s now scored at least 13 points in five of his last six games, and in three of his last four he’s scored at least 17 points. Not too shabby.

This past week alone I picked Mayo up in three different leagues. One was for garbage (see: Hakim Warrick), the other was for Drew Gooden (he was the worst player on my team!) and the third was for Thaddeus Young (again, the only dropable player I had). I’m a big believer in Mayo, even if he continues to come off the bench. Though with the way he’s been playing of late I don’t see him riding the pine much longer. He can hit threes, add a few steals, hit his free throws (he’s a better FT shooter than his numbers indicate this season) and he’s starting to improve his FG shooting.

My point is, it’s not worth dropping Mayo. I can see certain players getting the waiver wire treatment, but none as good as Mayo is. And trust me, I’m not trying to make him out to be a Top 25 player, or even a Top 50 fantasy contributor for that matter. I’m just not so sure that you dropping Mayo because Terrence Williams has potential is the right move. Thanks, though, to those of you who bailed on him. You’ve inspired me to get into the holiday season.

Continue reading


Damn Lies Fantasy Preview: Milwaukee Bucks

The Bucks were the league’s upstarts last season, a feisty and brash stew of effort, defense and confidence thrown together. It seemed precarious, yet at each turn Milwaukee adjusted, adapted and continued to be a thorn in the side of anyone who lined up against them. Teams truly feared The Deer. So what did the Bucks do in the offseason? They imported more ingredients, some of them suspect. Scott Skiles did a masterful job with this bunch a year ago, but he really has his work cut out for him now. In come proven players demanding shots, and out goes… nobody, really. The Bucks could conceivably have a legitimate 10-man rotation. For fantasy purposes, this doesn’t bode well.

LIES
There are two “sure things” on Milwaukee, yet both carry with them fantasy baggage, not to mention the dreaded quotation marks. Andrew Bogut is a legit fantasy center who averaged 15.9 PPG, 10.2 RPG and 2.5 BPG before gruesomely dismantling his elbow on a fall that will ensure I never leave my feet while playing basketball again. What a shame, because he was becoming a legitimate third-round pick if not better (despite a poor FT%). Bogut’s injury could keep him on the bench to start the season and might linger for a while. Meanwhile, we all know Brandon Jennings and his 37.1 field goal percentage will start at the point. It got ugly there for a while, as Jennings was barely startable for much of the season’s middle months. The Bucks will need him to do everything more efficiently. With maturity, he should bring that awful shooting percentage up above 40, but that’s still rotisserie kryptonite. He did average 5.7 assists, 1.8 threes and 1.3 steals, so he has some head-to-head value.

 

With Corey Maggette in town, will there be enough shots to keep Bango Buck happy?

 

DAMN LIES
How good was John Salmons after he joined the Bucks? He poured in 19.9 points per game in 30 contests, contributing 1.5 threes, 1.1 steals and shooting 86.7 percent from the line. He won’t do it again. Why not? Two guys: Michael Redd and Corey Maggette. Milwaukee might think they solved their scoring problem, but now there are too many cats who need their shots. It wouldn’t shock me if Redd takes a very reduced role, but he does make $17 million this year. Maggette walks in as Milwaukee’s best offensive player, but will he buy in to Skiles’ defense-first system? I’m avoiding all three of the above in drafts until we see how all of this plays out. Expect around 15-17 points from Salmons; I’m not sure he does enough else well to warrant a high selection in that scenario. Of course, Redd and Maggette own second homes in the training room, so there’s still a lot of upside with Salmons.

STATISTICS
Bogut’s injury likely means free agent signee Drew Gooden has some late-round value. Gooden should start the season at center, and he can shift to power forward easily, which is probably Luc Richard Mbah a Moute‘s spot to kick things off. I consider the Bucks frontcourt situation to be very fluid. It all depends on Bogut’s health, something to watch very closely. By the way, I haven’t even mentioned two of the team’s key cogs from last season: Carlos Delfino and Ersan Ilyasova. They are still here, and they will pick up minutes all over the court (as will newcomer Chris Douglas-Roberts, who the Bucks traded for because, um, well… I am not sure; and Jon Brockman, who will play because he’s a tough S.O.B.). Seriously, if Skiles gets it done with this group, he’s sold me. Go Deer.

DEPTH CHART
PG – Brandon Jennings, Chris Douglas-Roberts
SG – John Salmons, Michael Redd
SF – Corey Maggette, Carlos Delfino
PF – Luc Richard Mbah a Moute, Ersan Ilyasova
C – Andrew Bogut (injured), Drew Gooden

Up Next: Sacramento Kings

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Daily Lies & Statistics: It’s April, fools

It’s Thursday, April 1st, 2010, otherwise known as April Fool’s Day. As a fantasy basketball junkie, this is usually the time of year where I’m in no mood for jokes or surprises. It’s bad enough just looking at box scores and yelping “You gotta be kidding me!” with each click. So we’re handling today’s post with the utmost seriousness. Among last night’s stat lines, I’m not kidding about any of them.They really happened. And during the fantasy playoff season, no less.

The following are not, I repeat NOT April Fool’s jokes:

Do NOT anger the fantasy gods.

*After Brandon Jennings dropped a 29-8-7 Sunday followed by a 17-6-5 Tuesday, the fantasy gods (yes, Scott Skiles is one of them) decided that the fun was fin. Jennings played just 19 minutes last night at Cleveland and finished with five points on 2-of-9 shooting, one rebound, one assist and 2,396 ruined fantasy playoff matchups.

*Drew Gooden has five straight double-doubles after his 17-points, 10-board performance last night. He averaged a 15 and 10 in March in 30 minutes per game. On second thought, maybe this is a joke. Let me double-check and get back to you.

*The Celtics had the worst record in the NBA three years ago yet ended up with the fifth pick in the draft. Had Boston gotten the first or second pick their lineup right now would be Rajon Rondo, Kevin Durant, Paul Pierce, Al Jefferson, and Kendrick Perkins. And they wouldn’t be overpaying Rasheed Wallace to hoist awful threes. Yes, I was at the game last night and saw Durant pour in 37 without breaking much of a sweat, and yes, I’m a little bitter right now. But we did win a title, no? (I’m telling myself ‘yes’ over and over and over).

*The Lakers lost at Atlanta, 109-92, which is nothing to be ashamed of, but L.A. has now dropped three of four. Chinks in the armor? They are still the best team on paper but looking a little vulnerable right now. Andrew Bynum returning would solve some things, perhaps, but I get the feeling the one guy the Lakers would love to have is Trevor Ariza.

*Dwyane Wade had 10 points, 3 rebounds and one assist – and Miami won by 17 at Detroit. Huh? Well, for one: Detroit is an abomination and was missing Richard Hamilton (hamstring) and Charlie Villanueva (DNP CD LOL). But Miami played minus Jermaine O’Neal (knee), who was at the courthouse having his name legally changed to Jermaine O’Neal (knee). Luckily Michael Beasley went off for 28 and nine, and Dorell Wright added 17 in 22 minutes off the bench. A weird game, for sure.

*Now that the Nets won’t be the worst team ever in the record books, they can get back to tanking for John Wall. Jersey actually led Phoenix at halftime, but the Suns pulled away for their ninth-straight win. Steve Nash was magical, finishing with a 24-7-14 on 9-16 shooting (3-4 threes). Despite scoring 116 points, Amare’ Stoudemire finished with a sorry 15 and 4, and his owners have to be swearing under their breath this morning at him.

*If I had told you at the beginning of the season that the Wizards would be led by Mike Miller, Andray Blatche and Shaun Livingston in late March/April, you would have looked at me funny before thinking that Gilbert Arenas must have gotten hurt or done something crazy. So this isn’t that weird at all. The Livingston part is kind of a curveball, as the guy has lived the last few years without working knees. He’s the starting point guard now in Washington with Randy Foye out for the year, and he had 18 points and eight dimes as the Wiz snapped a 16-game losing streak with a 96-91 win at New Orleans. Miller had 27 and seven and Blatche had 23 and three steals (but just one rebound? Really?).

*Al Jefferson and Darko Milicic combined for 10 blocks last night in a 108-99 Minny (mini?) win over Sacramento. Both guys also double-doubled, as did Kevin Love (12 & 11). Sacramento was led by Tyreke Evans (20-7-13, 3 steals), who is playing really well despite coming off a concussion last week and subsequently claiming to have owned a penguin.

*George Hill offered up a candidate for Stat Line of the Year last night against Houston. Hill, who has been a fantasy savior this second half, finished with 30 points, seven assists, five steals and two threes and shot 11-15 from the floor and 6-6 from the line. Does anyone want to play San Antonio in the West this postseason? I didn’t think so.

*Speaking of teams in the West playing well, Dallas nipped Memphis in overtime last night, 106-102, improving to 50-25. That’s good for the No. 2 seed right now if the season ended today. Dallas has weapons, and when Jason Terry (29 points, six assists, four steals) is doing his thing they are formidable.

*Al Harrington took Greg’s post hinting that Al is selfish to heart, taking just six shots last night as the Knicks lost big at Portland, 118-90. Did anyone out there start Tracy McGrady (2-0-1) last night? You can type with a straightjacket on? Cool.

*The West’s current #3 seed, Utah, is performing at a really high level these days. Who knows if winning big over the Warriors of the National Rec League will help or hurt them, but they rolled last night, 128-104. Carlos Boozer was beastly with 25 & 13 on 12-14 shooting. Deron Williams had 19 assists. I wouldn’t want to play them, either.

Luckily I’m not on an NBA team, so I don’t have to. Although the Warriors have been calling.


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