Category Archives: Outrageous Claims

Outrageous Claims: Jeremy Lin

Welcome to Outrageous Claims, where the Damn Lies writers examine players that fantasy basketball owners might want to add to their teams. If you agree or disagree, or just want to vent, leave a message in the comments.

Jeremy Lin(PG, NYK)
After posting a huge 25-point, five-rebound, seven-assist, two-steal line on Saturday, all everyone wanted to talk about this morning was Jeremy Lin. Oh, and some NFL game being played later today. The big question, though, is whether or not one game makes Lin a must-own in standard leagues. Well, does it? Let’s find out…

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Outrageous Claims: Jason Smith

When not being flung out of the way like a rag doll, Jason Smith (right) is a serviceable basketball player.

Welcome to Outrageous Claims, where the Damn Lies writers examine players that fantasy basketball owners might want to add to their teams. If you agree or disagree, or just want to vent, leave a message in the comments.

Jason Smith (PF, NOR)
Smith is being scooped up in some of my deeper fantasy leagues right now after starting the last three games for New Orleans. He contributed 17 points, five boards, three blocks and a steal last night in an overtime loss to Houston, and had 14 & 6 the night before. He played 29 minutes in both games. Smith seems to have wrested the starter job away from Carl Landry and Chris Kaman, curiously. Kaman is more of a center and playing him and Emeka Okafor together is like having a cruise ship race across the Pacific. But Smith over Landry is a minor surprise. Landry’s defense has been questioned by head coach Monty Williams, so Smith is getting his shot. He’s had a couple of nice games. Should he be grabbed?

Jeff’s Claim: I couldn’t pull the trigger on Smith in a 12-team league this mornign, so I’m not going to suggest you do the opposite. If you are in a 12-teamer and are absolutely desperate for a forward, he’s not a bad short-term solution. But you have to think both Landry and Kaman, not to mention the mysterious Gustavo Ayon, will all put a dent into Smith’s production.


Outrageous Claims: Chandler Parsons

"Parsonsing" is taking longer to catch on, but if he keeps playing like this...

Welcome to Outrageous Claims, where the Damn Lies writers examine players that fantasy basketball owners might want to add to their teams. If you agree or disagree, or just want to vent, leave a message in the comments.

Chandler Parsons (F, HOU)
About the last guy you’d expect from last year’s draft to make an impact in fantasy, Rockets forward Chandler Parsons is starting to do just that. The 2nd-round pick has started the last three games for Houston and we’re starting to see a little of what he can contribute in a box score. His first start was nothing to write home about – 2 points in 30 minutes – but he did have eight boards and three steals. He then went for 20 & 7 on Tuesday in 31 minutes and followed that up with eight points, six boards, four assists, three steals and a block last night vs. San Antonio. He’s also attempted 11 threes in the last three games, and only made two, but it’s a good sign that Parsons is capable of producing in multiple categories. He’s apparently a favorite of Kevin McHale, whose rotations have been a little wacky, but we could be looking at a poor man’s Hedo Turkoglu with some potential value.

Jeff’s Claim: I need to see a little more from Parsons before I cannonball in, but a starting forward anywhere is worth monitoring, at least in deep leagues. Pick up Parsons if you have some dead weight you need to get rid of – like Chase Budinger for starters. He won’t blow you away most nights, but if he keeps getting 30+ minutes there is sneaky value here.


Outrageous Claims: Anthony Randolph

We know you can literally pick up the rail-thin Ant-Rand, but should you pick him up in fantasy?

Welcome to Outrageous Claims, where the Damn Lies writers examine players that fantasy basketball owners might want to add to their teams. If you agree or disagree, or just want to vent, leave a message in the comments.

Anthony Randolph (PF/C, MIN)
I would typically never recommend a player in his mid-30s, who has been in the league 12 years, but I might make an exception when it comes to Anthony Randolph. Oh wait, Randolph is only 22? How can that be? I feel like this guy has been in the NBA since the Reagan administration.

For a young shaver, Randolph has certainly bounced around the league, but he now finds himself in a pretty good situation in Minnesota. There are 144 minutes to go around at small forward, power forward and center. Kevin Love has 40 of them, Michael Beasley may be out for a month, Anthony Tolliver is failing miserably in nearly 25 minutes per game, Derrick Williams has huge potential but is young and somewhat struggling, and Darko Milicic is as much an NBA player as Abner Goldstein. So, whether it’s by default, freakish athletic ability, or a combination of both, the 6’11 Randolph should begin to seize a regular 25-minute role on this team. Last night, he played a season-high 29 minutes against the Bulls and tallied 18 points with a block and a steal. He won’t continue to score like this, but a la Tyrus Thomas, his potential for blocks and steals is staggering.

Greg’s Claim: Randolph has gotten stronger this year, and is athletic enough to play all three frontcourt positions. I have little faith in him to produce as he has done nothing but break our hearts in the past, but let’s remember his age and the fact that he now has a body that wouldn’t be bowled over by a cool breeze. If you have a Rashard Lewis or a Chase Budinger to excavate from your roster I’d take my chances with Randolph, but keep the leash short.


Outrageous Claims: Marreese Speights

Welcome to Outrageous Claims, where the Damn Lies writers examine players that fantasy basketball owners might want to add to their teams. If you agree or disagree, or just want to vent, leave a message in the comments.

Marreese Speights (PF, MEM)

Initially, the plan was for the Memphis Grizzlies to trade for Speights and have him back up Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol. Unfortunately, for the Grizzlies, Speights’ current role is to replace Randolph. Pretty funny how that works out, right? Well, it’s not funny to me, as someone who owns Randolph and Manu Ginobili on one team. Now I’m pretty much stuck with… Marreese Speights.

To be honest, I actually like Speights as a fantasy contributor now that he’s in Memphis. I feel like the 76ers never really utilized him properly. At least now with the Grizzlies, you know that he’s going to get minutes. He has to. They aren’t simply going to lean on Dante Cunningham to play 25-plus minutes. They have to let Speights play. And I believe that with the extra minutes and touches he can turn into a must-own player in 10-team leagues. Maybe not now, but eventually.

Just look at the numbers. Over his first three seasons in the league, Speights has only averaged about 14 minutes per game. Pretty pedestrian. But, when you consider what he’s been able to accomplish in limited action, he starts to look more appealing. If you stretch his numbers out to ‘per 36,’ you’ll see that Speights has posted 17.7 points, 9.0 rebounds, 1.2 assists, 0.8 steals and 1.3 blocks… per 36 minutes. Now, I’m not going to claim that he’ll step in and start playing 36 minutes each night for the Grizz, but his minutes should certainly approach about 25-28 per game. That doesn’t seem so outrageous to me. I can see him getting to the point where he’s comfortable enough in the system, getting touches and sets run through him, to post about 15 and 6 each night. Not great, but for someone who is now only owned in about 2% of leagues, that’s not too shabby.

Tom’s Claim: It’s going to take a game or two, but Speights will be the lead power forward for the Grizzlies until Randolph returns. I think on a good night he can come close to posting a double-double, but on an average night he might look more like Carl Landry. Again, that’s not bad for someone available in well over 90% of leagues.


Outrageous Claims: Gary Neal

Welcome to Outrageous Claims, where the Damn Lies writers examine players that fantasy basketball owners might want to add to their teams. If you agree or disagree, or just want to vent, leave a message in the comments.

Gary Neal (SG, SAS)
Fantasy owners got booted in the groin on Monday when Manu Ginobili went down with a broken hand. Ginobili was playing fantastic basketball to start the year, which makes the injury doubly crushing. He’ll miss at least a month. Into the void steps… James Anderson? Not so fast. The Spurs have Gary Neal waiting in the wings, playing in the NBDL while recovering from an appendectomy. He’s back with the big club, and looking like the guy to own in the short term. Neal’s per-36 stats last year were solid: 16.7 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 2.1 APG, 2.8 3FG. He won’t do much in the defensive categories, but he can help replace a decent chunk of what Ginobili was producing. Certainly Anderson should be monitored as well. He’s been averaging 21.4 minutes per game in the early going and he’ll likely get the first crack at stepping up. But the smart money is on Neal, who was a legit weapon last year as a rookie off the bench for the Spurs.

Jeff’s Claim: Neal takes a game or two to get going, but he’ll stake his claim to the starting two-guard spot by the end of the week and justify you picking him up as a Ginobili replacement.


Outrageous Claims: MarShon Brooks


Welcome to Outrageous Claims, where the Damn Lies writers examine players that fantasy basketball owners might want to add to their teams. If you agree or disagree, or just want to vent, leave a message in the comments.

MarShon Brooks (SG, NJN)

Everyone is talking about Brooks this morning, after he posted back-toback 17-point performances, with his latest coming last night against the Magic. Of course everyone now wants to know whether or not they should rush to the waiver wires to add Brooks. As far as I’m concerned, there’s no reason why you wouldn’t add Brooks. It’s just a matter of putting his game and value into perspective. Know that he’s a rookie, which ultimately will mean he’s going to be relatively streaky, with the occasional “off” night. Don’t get me wrong, this guy can absolutely score. But the problem is, he’s shown early on a tendency to force his shot, which won’t sit well over time with Avery Johnson. That said, he’s probably a better option than Jordan Crawford and close in value to what Nick Young gives you. It’s all about the points (with some threes) with Brooks. He’s not going to compile a ton of rebounds, assists or defensive numbers. But, with all that said, yes, you should pick him up. But be careful in slotting him in as a weekly starter, at least early on. He’ll have his moments where he looks like, well, a rookie.

Outrageous Claim: Brooks will finish the season averaging 17 points per game, and we’ll be talking about him much like we do Young (and did Crawford). I think that over time, once he gets more NBA run, he’ll finish the season as a Top 60 players.


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