Category Archives: Damn Lies & Statistics

Outrageous Claims: Jeremy Lin

Welcome to Outrageous Claims, where the Damn Lies writers examine players that fantasy basketball owners might want to add to their teams. If you agree or disagree, or just want to vent, leave a message in the comments.

Jeremy Lin(PG, NYK)
After posting a huge 25-point, five-rebound, seven-assist, two-steal line on Saturday, all everyone wanted to talk about this morning was Jeremy Lin. Oh, and some NFL game being played later today. The big question, though, is whether or not one game makes Lin a must-own in standard leagues. Well, does it? Let’s find out…

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Start, Drop & Roll: Week 6 advice

"I'm the Notre Damus of the NBA"

As we head into Week 6 of the fantasy basketball season, I took the liberty of looking up the word fantasy. It is defined as a genre of fiction that commonly uses magic and other supernatural phenomena as a primary element of plot, theme, or setting. It also states that many works within the genre take place in imaginary worlds where magic is common.

As I languish in last place in the Damn Lies league, I’m sure I’m not alone in saying that this season has been far from a fantasy. And with my newfound definition of the term, I am now on the hunt for a magician to turn my season around. With that said, ladies and gentlemen, to offer this week’s selections, allow me introduce the amazing Melodini. This is the only man, in the history of American basketball, who has singlehandedly shattered the hopes and dreams of an entire city, and will get none of the blame. Truly amazing. Continue reading

Start, Drop & Roll: Week 5 advice

hey Chris, I'm wide open every time, man

We’re getting into that part of the season when many beleaguered owners begin to lose faith and start to not pay as much attention to the waiver wire and free agent pool. Don’t be one of these owners! Be more like your Start, Drop & Roll author, who thinks whining about his fantasy basketball team should be a profession. On to some sage Week 5 guidance.

Start ’em:

Nicolas Batum, SF, Portland: I, for one, can’t make up my mind on Batum this year. He has been on the wrong end of a congested swing rotation in the Great Northwest, but is making the most of his opportunities. Gerald Wallace missed the Blazers’ last game with a sprained finger and Crash has never been known to make speedy returns. Batum should offer a nice across-the-board return in a four-game week. Continue reading

Moving Without: Is Kyle Lowry The Fantasy Hoops MVP?

We’re just about one month into the NBA season, so it’s time for us to get an jump naming an early front-runner for the Most Valuable Fantasy baller. Of course it’s no real surprise to see that Kevin Durant, Kobe Bryant, Kevin Love and LeBron James are among the top four players in the game, as we approach the one-month mark of the season. But there are also some less than familiar names in the Top 10, including Danilo Gallinari, Ryan Anderson and, yes, Kyle Lowry. Of course you can make the case that anyone of the top four superstars are in fact all MVP-worthy, but I think the case has to be made that it’s Lowry, who was drafted in the 4th or 5th round in most cases, is the early favorite for the Fantasy Hoops MVP.

The case for Lowry takes a hit in 9-category leagues, thanks to his coughing up 3.4 turnovers per game. You also have a legitimate beef in complaining about his 42.9 FG%. But, outside of those two deficiencies, you have to consider what Lowry has done to place himself among the top five players in the game, 15 games into the season.

First, you love the fact that he’s third in the league in FT shooting (90.2%), among those taking at least 4.0 attempts per game. He’s 7th in the NBA in threes made (2.1 per), first among all guards in rebounds per game (6.6), third in the league in assists (8.7), fifth in steals (2.2) and he’s scoring a career-best 17.3 points per game. Those are fantastic numbers. Again, you can make the case that Kobe, LeBron, K-Love and Durant have all been more valuable, but relative to where Lowry was drafted, it’s hard not to give him the nod here. And the best part is, there’s no reason to believe that he’s going to slow down anytime soon. So, don’t “sell high” on him. Just sit back and enjoy the ride!

Let’s take a look at some other pressing NBA news, shall we?
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Start, Drop & Roll: Week 4 Advice

We’re less three weeks into the 2011-12 season and the carnage is sickening. It seems as if half the league has a sore shoulder and the other half a torn pec. But there’s always that 1 percent, and to that end, I’d like you all to know that Stephen Curry remains sidelined with a sprained ankle; Just thought you should be made aware.

The loss of Al Horford for the season will have a dramatic effect on all fantasy leagues. The reaction of Horford’s owners was eerily reminiscent to that of the North Korean people at Kim Jong Il’s funeral. While it is impossible to equate Dear Leader’s popularity, I would imagine that the owners of Josh Smith, Joe Johnson and Jeff Teague are purchasing bouquets as we speak. This triumvirate should post terrific fantasy numbers the rest of the way, and I’m also starting to think that this is the perfect opportunity to take a flyer on Marvin Williams. He returned to the Atlanta rotation on Saturday, and if he is ever going to live up to his hype, after being selected No. 2 in the draft ahead of Deron Williams and Chris Paul, this will be his chance. As for the Hawks’ new starting center, Zaza Pachulia, I think I’d rather pick up Zsa Zsa Gabor.

On to the selections for Week 4.

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A Bonner Year

From the Damn Lies & Statistics 2011 annual report compiled by WordPress:

Some visitors came searching, mostly for rajon rondo, matt bonner, damn lies and statistics, damned lies and statistics, and carmelo anthony.

We didn’t know the thirst for Matt Bonner information would extend so far into our little corner of the internet, but we are certainly happy that we gained so many new readers in 2011. It was a great year for us, despite the lockout, and 2012 is off to an overwhelming start. We thank you for your continued support, and want to wish you a happy belated new year. We’re continuing efforts to improve this blog and give you guys a great place to keep visiting.

Thanks for coming along on the ride. Please let us know how we’re doing.

Here’s to 2012,

Jeff, Tom & Greg

Outrageous Claims: Marreese Speights

Welcome to Outrageous Claims, where the Damn Lies writers examine players that fantasy basketball owners might want to add to their teams. If you agree or disagree, or just want to vent, leave a message in the comments.

Marreese Speights (PF, MEM)

Initially, the plan was for the Memphis Grizzlies to trade for Speights and have him back up Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol. Unfortunately, for the Grizzlies, Speights’ current role is to replace Randolph. Pretty funny how that works out, right? Well, it’s not funny to me, as someone who owns Randolph and Manu Ginobili on one team. Now I’m pretty much stuck with… Marreese Speights.

To be honest, I actually like Speights as a fantasy contributor now that he’s in Memphis. I feel like the 76ers never really utilized him properly. At least now with the Grizzlies, you know that he’s going to get minutes. He has to. They aren’t simply going to lean on Dante Cunningham to play 25-plus minutes. They have to let Speights play. And I believe that with the extra minutes and touches he can turn into a must-own player in 10-team leagues. Maybe not now, but eventually.

Just look at the numbers. Over his first three seasons in the league, Speights has only averaged about 14 minutes per game. Pretty pedestrian. But, when you consider what he’s been able to accomplish in limited action, he starts to look more appealing. If you stretch his numbers out to ‘per 36,’ you’ll see that Speights has posted 17.7 points, 9.0 rebounds, 1.2 assists, 0.8 steals and 1.3 blocks… per 36 minutes. Now, I’m not going to claim that he’ll step in and start playing 36 minutes each night for the Grizz, but his minutes should certainly approach about 25-28 per game. That doesn’t seem so outrageous to me. I can see him getting to the point where he’s comfortable enough in the system, getting touches and sets run through him, to post about 15 and 6 each night. Not great, but for someone who is now only owned in about 2% of leagues, that’s not too shabby.

Tom’s Claim: It’s going to take a game or two, but Speights will be the lead power forward for the Grizzlies until Randolph returns. I think on a good night he can come close to posting a double-double, but on an average night he might look more like Carl Landry. Again, that’s not bad for someone available in well over 90% of leagues.

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